The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) has issued a historic downward revision to its employment data for 2025, revealing that the labor market was significantly weaker than previously reported. According to the latest benchmark revisions, approximately 1 million fewer jobs were added than initially estimated by monthly establishment surveys. This adjustment brings the average monthly job gains down to a mere 15,000, a stark contrast to the robust growth figures earlier presented. The revisions are attributed to more accurate data from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) and updates to the birth-death model. Analysts suggest that a revision of this magnitude indicates a deteriorating economic landscape, likely pressuring the Federal Reserve (Fed) to consider more aggressive interest rate cuts. Consequently, the news has triggered bearish sentiment for the USD while boosting the appeal of safe-haven assets like Gold and government bonds.
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