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This indicator measures the change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers during the first 15 days of the month, excluding volatile components like food and energy. It serves as a crucial early signal for the final monthly inflation figures, providing a cleaner view of underlying price trends. Central banks closely monitor this data to assess persistent inflationary pressures and determine the appropriate path for interest rates. A higher-than-expected reading is typically seen as bullish for the currency, while a lower reading is bearish.
The index is calculated by comparing the average prices of a fixed basket of goods and services during the first 15 days of the current month against the first 15 days of the previous month, excluding food and energy sectors.