Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy. The Quarter-over-Quarter (QoQ) figure provides a snapshot of the economy's growth momentum. It is the primary indicator used to determine whether an economy is in expansion or recession.
Calculated by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) using the expenditure approach: GDP = Consumption + Investment + Government Spending + (Exports - Imports).
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 1.50 | 2.10 | -0.60 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | 2.10 | 1.60 | +0.50 |
| May 28, 2026 | 1.60 | 2.00 | -0.40 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | 2.00 | 2.20 | -0.20 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | 0.50 | 0.70 | -0.20 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | 0.70 | 1.40 | -0.70 |
| Feb 20, 2026 | 1.40 | 2.80 | -1.40 |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 4.40 | 4.30 | +0.10 |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 4.30 | 3.30 | +1.00 |
| Sep 25, 2025 | 3.80 | 3.30 | +0.50 |
| Aug 28, 2025 | 3.30 | 3.00 | +0.30 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | 3.00 | 2.50 | +0.50 |
| Jun 26, 2025 | -0.50 | -0.20 | -0.30 |
| May 29, 2025 | -0.20 | -0.30 | +0.10 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | -0.30 | 0.20 | -0.50 |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2.40 | 2.30 | +0.10 |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.70 | -0.40 |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3.10 | 2.80 | +0.30 |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 0.00 |
| Sep 26, 2024 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Aug 29, 2024 | 3.00 | 2.80 | +0.20 |
| Jul 25, 2024 | 2.80 | 2.00 | +0.80 |
| Jun 27, 2024 | 1.40 | 1.30 | +0.10 |
| Apr 25, 2024 | 1.60 | 2.50 | -0.90 |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 3.20 | 3.30 | -0.10 |
