The Year-over-Year Inflation Rate measures the percentage change in the price of a basket of goods and services compared to the same month in the previous year. It is the primary gauge of purchasing power and is used by central banks to determine monetary policy and interest rate adjustments. High inflation often leads to tighter monetary policy, while low inflation may prompt stimulus measures.
It is calculated by comparing the current Consumer Price Index (CPI) to the CPI value from one year ago. The formula used is ((Current CPI - Past CPI) / Past CPI) x 100.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2025 | 11.80 | 11.50 | +0.30 |
| Aug 27, 2025 | 10.50 | 9.50 | +1.00 |
| Jul 4, 2025 | 10.50 | 9.70 | +0.80 |
| Jun 6, 2025 | 9.90 | 10.50 | -0.60 |
| May 6, 2025 | 10.00 | 10.90 | -0.90 |
| Apr 11, 2025 | 11.10 | 12.50 | -1.40 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 12.00 | 11.80 | +0.20 |
| Feb 13, 2025 | 11.60 | 12.00 | -0.40 |
| Oct 7, 2024 | 12.00 | 10.50 | +1.50 |
| Sep 10, 2024 | 12.20 | 11.80 | +0.40 |
| Aug 12, 2024 | 13.50 | 20.00 | -6.50 |
| Jul 10, 2024 | 16.60 | 19.50 | -2.90 |
| May 27, 2024 | 19.20 | 19.10 | +0.10 |
| May 6, 2024 | 18.90 | 16.50 | +2.40 |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 18.50 | 16.80 | +1.70 |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 17.00 | 18.00 | -1.00 |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 17.00 | 10.00 | +7.00 |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 16.60 | 11.50 | +5.10 |
The latest reading is within its usual range, less than one standard deviation from the mean.
