The reading has fallen in each of the last 4 releases.
The Core Inflation Rate Year-over-Year tracks the percentage change in the prices of consumer goods and services over the last 12 months, excluding food and energy. This annual perspective is vital for understanding the sustained trajectory of inflation and its impact on purchasing power over time. It is a primary reference point for cost-of-living adjustments and long-term economic planning. Central banks use this metric to gauge whether inflation is trending toward their long-term targets.
The index compares the current month's Core CPI level to the level from the same month in the previous year to determine the annual percentage growth.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | — | 1.60 | — |
| Sep 15, 2026 | 1.50 | 1.60 | -0.10 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | 1.70 | 1.40 | +0.30 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | 1.90 | 2.00 | -0.10 |
| Jun 15, 2026 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
| May 14, 2026 | 2.40 | 2.30 | +0.10 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | 1.90 | 2.20 | -0.30 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | 2.40 | 2.80 | -0.40 |
| Feb 16, 2026 | 2.90 | 3.00 | -0.10 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3.00 | 3.10 | -0.10 |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2.90 | 2.90 | 0.00 |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3.00 | 3.50 | -0.50 |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3.60 | 3.70 | -0.10 |
| Sep 16, 2025 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 0.00 |
| Aug 15, 2025 | 3.60 | 3.40 | +0.20 |
| Jul 15, 2025 | 3.50 | 3.30 | +0.20 |
| Jun 13, 2025 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 0.00 |
| May 14, 2025 | 2.90 | 2.90 | 0.00 |
| Apr 15, 2025 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2.80 | 2.70 | +0.10 |
| Feb 17, 2025 | 2.70 | 2.30 | +0.40 |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.70 | -0.40 |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 2.60 | 2.70 | -0.10 |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2.60 | 2.50 | +0.10 |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2.00 | 2.10 | -0.10 |
| Sep 13, 2024 | 2.30 | 2.40 | -0.10 |
| Aug 15, 2024 | 2.10 | 2.00 | +0.10 |
| Jul 15, 2024 | 1.80 | 2.00 | -0.20 |
| Jun 14, 2024 | 2.10 | 2.20 | -0.10 |
| May 14, 2024 | 2.30 | 2.50 | -0.20 |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2.70 | 2.80 | -0.10 |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 3.70 | 3.90 | -0.20 |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 4.50 | 5.20 | -0.70 |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 6.20 | 6.30 | -0.10 |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 6.60 | 6.80 | -0.20 |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 7.60 | 7.60 | 0.00 |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 8.80 | 8.80 | 0.00 |
| Sep 14, 2023 | 9.60 | 9.80 | -0.20 |
| Aug 14, 2023 | 10.60 | 10.40 | +0.20 |
The latest reading is within its usual range, less than one standard deviation from the mean.
