Consumer Confidence, often referring to the Conference Board's index, measures how optimistic or pessimistic consumers are regarding their expected financial situation. It is a leading indicator as it can predict consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity. When consumers feel confident, they tend to spend more, driving economic growth and corporate earnings. A rising trend in this index is generally seen as a positive sign for the stock market and the national currency.
The index is calculated based on a monthly survey of about 5,000 households. It assesses current business and employment conditions, as well as expectations for the next six months.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | — | 40.50 | — |
| Sep 15, 2026 | 39.67 | 43.60 | -3.93 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | 42.99 | 41.00 | +1.99 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | 41.23 | 44.00 | -2.77 |
| Jun 16, 2026 | 38.21 | 42.00 | -3.79 |
| May 18, 2026 | 40.17 | 51.50 | -11.33 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | 51.32 | 50.00 | +1.32 |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 50.07 | 54.00 | -3.93 |
| Feb 16, 2026 | 55.34 | 52.10 | +3.24 |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 51.69 | 52.90 | -1.21 |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 52.55 | 48.00 | +4.55 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 48.32 | 49.20 | -0.88 |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 49.86 | 51.00 | -1.14 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | 50.73 | 48.00 | +2.73 |
| Aug 14, 2025 | 47.80 | 49.00 | -1.20 |
| Jul 15, 2025 | 47.67 | 51.00 | -3.33 |
| Jun 12, 2025 | 53.46 | 49.00 | +4.46 |
| May 16, 2025 | 49.44 | 51.00 | -1.56 |
| Apr 14, 2025 | 51.96 | 49.00 | +2.96 |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 50.51 | 55.00 | -4.49 |
| Feb 14, 2025 | 56.94 | 53.50 | +3.44 |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 53.98 | 55.40 | -1.42 |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 55.63 | 53.90 | +1.73 |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 54.46 | 53.80 | +0.66 |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 54.08 | 56.20 | -2.12 |
| Sep 16, 2024 | 55.50 | 55.00 | +0.50 |
| Aug 14, 2024 | 54.80 | 53.10 | +1.70 |
| Jul 11, 2024 | 52.80 | 55.00 | -2.20 |
| Jun 17, 2024 | 53.00 | 51.70 | +1.30 |
| May 13, 2024 | 52.80 | 52.90 | -0.10 |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 53.50 | 55.50 | -2.00 |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 56.40 | 57.30 | -0.90 |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 59.10 | 59.10 | 0.00 |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 57.50 | 57.20 | +0.30 |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 55.40 | 62.50 | -7.10 |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 61.80 | 59.50 | +2.30 |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 60.60 | 56.90 | +3.70 |
The latest reading is 2.2 standard deviations below the mean.
