The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a representative basket of goods and services. It is the primary gauge of inflation in the economy and a key driver for central bank interest rate decisions. A rising CPI indicates declining purchasing power and often leads to tighter monetary policy.
Calculated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) using price data collected from thousands of retail and service establishments. It uses a weighted average of prices for various categories like housing, food, and energy.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2.70 | 2.80 | -0.10 |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 0.00 | — | — |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2.40 | — | — |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3.20 | 3.10 | +0.10 |
| Sep 30, 2025 | 2.90 | — | — |
| Sep 16, 2025 | 3.20 | 3.10 | +0.10 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | -0.10 | — | — |
| Aug 18, 2025 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 0.00 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | 3.10 | 2.80 | +0.30 |
| Jul 16, 2025 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 0.00 |
| Jun 30, 2025 | 4.10 | 4.00 | +0.10 |
| Jun 13, 2025 | 4.00 | 4.10 | -0.10 |
| May 30, 2025 | 4.10 | 4.30 | -0.20 |
| May 16, 2025 | 3.40 | 3.50 | -0.10 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | 4.20 | — | — |
| Apr 16, 2025 | 3.60 | 3.50 | +0.10 |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 4.90 | 5.10 | -0.20 |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3.60 | 3.90 | -0.30 |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 4.00 | 4.30 | -0.30 |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 0.50 | 0.40 | +0.10 |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 4.30 | 4.20 | +0.10 |
| Sep 13, 2024 | 4.30 | 4.30 | 0.00 |
| Aug 30, 2024 | 4.30 | 4.30 | 0.00 |
| Aug 14, 2024 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| Jul 31, 2024 | 4.20 | 4.40 | -0.20 |
| Jul 16, 2024 | 3.60 | 3.70 | -0.10 |
| Jun 28, 2024 | 0.10 | — | — |
| May 29, 2024 | 2.50 | — | — |
| May 16, 2024 | 4.10 | 4.00 | +0.10 |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 4.60 | — | — |
| Mar 29, 2024 | 1.90 | 2.20 | -0.30 |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 0.30 | 0.50 | -0.20 |