Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy. The Quarter-over-Quarter (QoQ) figure provides a snapshot of the economy's growth momentum. It is the primary indicator used to determine whether an economy is in expansion or recession.
Calculated by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) using the expenditure approach: GDP = Consumption + Investment + Government Spending + (Exports - Imports).
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | 1.00 | 0.90 | +0.10 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | 0.90 | 1.00 | -0.10 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 0.60 | 0.50 | +0.10 |
| May 14, 2026 | 1.00 | — | — |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | 1.00 | — | — |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 0.90 | 0.80 | +0.10 |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 0.80 | — | — |
| Sep 1, 2025 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Jun 2, 2025 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.00 |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 0.00 |
| Nov 28, 2024 | -0.10 | -0.20 | +0.10 |
| Aug 29, 2024 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Aug 14, 2024 | 1.50 | 0.90 | +0.60 |
| Jun 3, 2024 | 0.50 | 0.40 | +0.10 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | 0.50 | 1 | +0.50 ↑ |