The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a representative basket of goods and services. It is the primary gauge of inflation in the economy and a key driver for central bank interest rate decisions. A rising CPI indicates declining purchasing power and often leads to tighter monetary policy.
Calculated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) using price data collected from thousands of retail and service establishments. It uses a weighted average of prices for various categories like housing, food, and energy.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | 0.30 | 0.20 | +0.10 |
| Dec 1, 2025 | -0.20 | -0.30 | +0.10 |
| Oct 1, 2025 | 0.50 | 0.40 | +0.10 |
| Sep 1, 2025 | 1.70 | 2.00 | -0.30 |
| Aug 4, 2025 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Jul 1, 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Jun 3, 2025 | -0.10 | 0.10 | -0.20 |
| May 1, 2025 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 0.40 | 0.20 | +0.20 |
| Oct 1, 2024 | 0.10 | — | — |
| Sep 2, 2024 | 0.40 | 0.30 | +0.10 |
| Jul 1, 2024 | -0.20 | 0.10 | -0.30 |
| Jun 3, 2024 | 2.70 | 2.80 | -0.10 |
| May 1, 2024 | 2.90 | 3.00 | -0.10 |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 113.94 | 114.00 | -0.06 |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 113.77 | 113.50 | +0.27 |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 112.72 | 112.70 | +0.02 |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 112.74 | 113.10 | -0.36 |
| Oct 4, 2023 | 112.99 | 112.70 | +0.29 |
| Sep 4, 2023 | 112.30 | 111.10 | +1.20 |
| Aug 1, 2023 | 111.20 | 111.30 | -0.10 |
| Jul 3, 2023 | 111.12 | 111.30 | -0.18 |
| Jun 1, 2023 | 111.13 | 111.30 | -0.17 |
| May 1, 2023 | 110.80 | 110.91 | -0.11 |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 110.56 | 110.90 | -0.34 |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 110.38 | 110.60 | -0.22 |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 109.28 | 109.30 | -0.02 |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 109.10 | 109.70 | -0.60 |
