The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a representative basket of goods and services. It is the primary gauge of inflation in the economy and a key driver for central bank interest rate decisions. A rising CPI indicates declining purchasing power and often leads to tighter monetary policy.
Calculated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) using price data collected from thousands of retail and service establishments. It uses a weighted average of prices for various categories like housing, food, and energy.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | 4.50 | — | — |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 4.50 | — | — |
| Sep 30, 2025 | 4.60 | — | — |
| Aug 29, 2025 | 4.50 | — | — |
| Jul 31, 2025 | 4.10 | — | — |
| Jun 30, 2025 | 3.80 | — | — |
| May 30, 2025 | 3.80 | — | — |
| Apr 30, 2025 | 4.10 | — | — |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 3.60 | — | — |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 3.50 | — | — |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3.00 | — | — |
| Oct 2, 2024 | 3.60 | — | — |
| Aug 30, 2024 | 4.40 | — | — |
| Jul 31, 2024 | 4.30 | — | — |
| May 31, 2024 | 5.10 | — | — |
| Mar 29, 2024 | 5.70 | — | — |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 6.30 | 6.90 | -0.60 |