The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a representative basket of goods and services. It is the primary gauge of inflation in the economy and a key driver for central bank interest rate decisions. A rising CPI indicates declining purchasing power and often leads to tighter monetary policy.
Calculated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) using price data collected from thousands of retail and service establishments. It uses a weighted average of prices for various categories like housing, food, and energy.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1.33 | 1.50 | -0.17 |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 0.71 | 0.70 | +0.01 |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1.54 | 1.70 | -0.16 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | 2.07 | 2.10 | -0.03 |
| Aug 12, 2025 | 1.55 | 1.76 | -0.21 |
| Jul 14, 2025 | 2.10 | 2.50 | -0.40 |
| Jun 12, 2025 | 2.82 | 3.00 | -0.18 |
| May 13, 2025 | 3.16 | 3.27 | -0.11 |
| Apr 15, 2025 | 3.34 | 3.60 | -0.26 |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3.61 | 4.00 | -0.39 |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 5.22 | 5.30 | -0.08 |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 5.48 | 5.53 | -0.05 |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 5.49 | 5.00 | +0.49 |
| Aug 12, 2024 | 3.54 | 3.65 | -0.11 |
| Jul 12, 2024 | 5.08 | 4.80 | +0.28 |
| Jun 12, 2024 | 4.75 | 4.90 | -0.15 |
| May 13, 2024 | 4.83 | 4.80 | +0.03 |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 5.09 | 5.02 | +0.07 |
