The S&P Global/CIPS UK Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) is a leading indicator of economic health for the UK manufacturing sector. The index is derived from monthly surveys of senior executives at over 650 manufacturing companies. It covers variables such as output, new orders, employment, and supplier delivery times. A reading above 50.0 indicates expansion, while a reading below 50.0 signals contraction in the sector.
Calculated as a weighted average of five individual indices: New Orders (30%), Output (25%), Employment (20%), Suppliers' Delivery Times (15%), and Stocks of Purchases (10%).
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 47.10 | 47.50 | -0.40 |
| Feb 1, 2024 | 47.00 | 46.90 | +0.10 |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 47.30 | 46.70 | +0.60 |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 46.40 | 47.50 | -1.10 |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 47.20 | 46.60 | +0.60 |
| Nov 23, 2023 | 46.70 | 45.00 | +1.70 |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 44.80 | 45.20 | -0.40 |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 45.20 | 44.70 | +0.50 |
| Oct 2, 2023 | 44.30 | 44.20 | +0.10 |
| Sep 22, 2023 | 44.20 | 43.00 | +1.20 |
| Sep 1, 2023 | 43.00 | 42.50 | +0.50 |
| Aug 23, 2023 | 42.50 | 45.00 | -2.50 |
| Aug 1, 2023 | 45.30 | 45.00 | +0.30 |
| Jul 24, 2023 | 45.00 | 46.10 | -1.10 |
| Jul 3, 2023 | 46.50 | 46.20 | +0.30 |
| Jun 23, 2023 | 46.20 | 46.80 | -0.60 |
| Jun 1, 2023 | 47.10 | 46.90 | +0.20 |
| May 23, 2023 | 46.90 | 48.00 | -1.10 |
| May 2, 2023 | 47.80 | 46.60 | +1.20 |
| Apr 21, 2023 | 46.60 | 48.50 | -1.90 |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 47.90 | 48.00 | -0.10 |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 48.00 | 49.80 | -1.80 |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 49.30 | 49.20 | +0.10 |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 49.20 | 47.50 | +1.70 |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 47.00 | 46.70 | +0.30 |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 46.70 | 45.50 | +1.20 |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 45.30 | 44.70 | +0.60 |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 44.70 | 46.30 | -1.60 |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 46.50 | 46.20 | +0.30 |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 46.20 | 45.80 | +0.40 |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 46.20 | 45.80 | +0.40 |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 45.80 | 48.00 | -2.20 |
| Oct 3, 2022 | 48.40 | 48.50 | -0.10 |
| Sep 23, 2022 | 48.50 | 47.50 | +1.00 |
| Sep 1, 2022 | 47.30 | 46.00 | +1.30 |
| Aug 23, 2022 | 46.00 | 51.10 | -5.10 |
| Aug 1, 2022 | 52.10 | 52.20 | -0.10 |
| Jul 22, 2022 | 52.20 | 52.00 | +0.20 |
| Jul 1, 2022 | 52.80 | 53.40 | -0.60 |
| Jun 23, 2022 | 53.40 | 53.70 | -0.30 |
| Jun 1, 2022 | 54.60 | 54.60 | 0.00 |
| May 24, 2022 | 54.60 | 55.00 | -0.40 |
| May 3, 2022 | 55.80 | 55.30 | +0.50 |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 55.30 | 54.00 | +1.30 |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 55.20 | 55.50 | -0.30 |