The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a representative basket of goods and services. It is the primary gauge of inflation in the economy and a key driver for central bank interest rate decisions. A rising CPI indicates declining purchasing power and often leads to tighter monetary policy.
Calculated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) using price data collected from thousands of retail and service establishments. It uses a weighted average of prices for various categories like housing, food, and energy.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 0.80 | — | — |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 0.80 | 0.90 | -0.10 |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Nov 28, 2025 | -0.10 | 0.00 | -0.10 |
| Oct 15, 2025 | -1.00 | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| Sep 30, 2025 | 1.20 | 1.30 | -0.10 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.50 | -0.10 |
| Aug 14, 2025 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Jul 11, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.30 | +0.10 |
| Jun 27, 2025 | 0.90 | 0.70 | +0.20 |
| Jun 13, 2025 | 0.70 | — | — |
| May 27, 2025 | 0.70 | 0.90 | -0.20 |
| May 15, 2025 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | 0.50 | 0.40 | +0.10 |
| Apr 15, 2025 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 0.80 | — | — |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 0.20 | 0.50 | -0.30 |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Dec 13, 2024 | -0.10 | 0.10 | -0.20 |
| Sep 13, 2024 | 0.50 | — | — |
| Aug 30, 2024 | 1.90 | 1.80 | +0.10 |
| Aug 14, 2024 | 0.20 | — | — |
| Jul 31, 2024 | 2.30 | 2.40 | -0.10 |
| Jul 12, 2024 | 0.10 | — | — |
| Jun 28, 2024 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| May 31, 2024 | 2.20 | 2.40 | -0.20 |
| Mar 29, 2024 | 2.30 | 2.60 | -0.30 |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 0.90 | — | — |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2.90 | 2.70 | +0.20 |
