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Unemployment Rate

Ceuta & MelillaMonthly
SummaryAbout This Indicator4Historical Data6
Latest release · January 30, 2025 · 10:00 UTC
6.30
Below forecast by 0.1
Last five prints
7.507.308.106.306.30
Forecast
6.40Actual is lower by 0.1
Previous
—

About This Indicator

4 questions

The Unemployment Rate is the share of unemployed people in the labour force, the total of employed plus unemployed people. Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union, publishes the monthly euro area rate for ages 15 to 74 since April 1998. Its source is the European Union Labour Force Survey, a harmonised household interview programme using shared rules across countries, with monthly samples differing by country.

It covers the usually resident population outside collective households from age 15, with France including overseas departments and Cyprus limited to government-controlled areas. It excludes benefit claimant counts, which use different national rules, plus part-time underuse and inactive people such as students.

Labour status refers to a reference week inside each month, and months stay provisional until quarterly results align them about 75 days after quarter end. Seasonally adjusted data, with regular seasonal swings removed, appear about 31 days after month end on an embargoed Euro indicators calendar using Europe/Luxembourg time. Data go for information only to the European Central Bank and the Directorate-General for Employment under embargo on the evening before release.

If a national month is missing, totals reuse its latest data. Germany and the Netherlands publish the trend component, while Estonia and Portugal use 3-month moving averages. Each release adds under-25 youth, sex and national tables plus United States and Japanese comparison figures. Models rerun monthly, with routine results final after 6 months.

The area rate builds straight from national levels by headcount, moved by demographic groups and gaps between countries.

  • Unemployed: people meeting the no-work, availability and active-search rules.
  • Employed: people with paid hours who complete the labour force count.
  • Youth 15-24: the smaller and more volatile group inside the labour force.
  • Adults 25-74: the larger and steadier block of the labour force.
  • By sex: the gap between male and female rates.
  • National differences: dispersion across member labour markets hidden by the area average.

In December 2023 (published February 1, 2024) the adjusted euro area rate held at 6.4%, flat on November and down from 6.7% a year earlier. It covered 10.909 million jobless and stayed at a record low level.

Joblessness fell by 17 thousand on the month and 369 thousand on the year. Yet youth jobless levels rose by 13 thousand, while the youth rate eased from 14.5% to 14.4% as the labour force grew. Women stood at 6.8% and men at 6.1%. Wide gaps hid behind the average: Spain at 11.7%, Greece at 9.2%, Germany at 3.1% and Malta at 2.4%.

  1. Classify: Each sampled person ages 15 to 74 is classed as employed, unemployed or inactive for one reference week. Unemployed means no paid work, available within 2 weeks or starting a job within 3 months, plus active search in the past 4 weeks.
  2. Active search and employment: Active search covers contacting employment offices, applications, ads, interviews and seeking premises or permits. Any paid hour counts as employed, including temporary absence.
  3. Fill gaps: Compile unadjusted monthly levels for 4 categories per country, then benchmark quarterly averages to quarterly totals. Use registered auxiliary counts with interpolation and nowcasts for months missing Labour Force Survey data.
  4. Adjust and add up: Apply indirect seasonal adjustment by country, sex and age with TRAMO/SEATS, using the X-13 trend for Germany, in JDemetra+. Then sum adjusted national levels to euro area levels.
  5. Divide to rate: Divide jobless by labour force and multiply by 100, so 10,909,000 divided by 170,409,000 gives 6.4%. The example uses 159,500,000 employed.

Key point

The youth rate is not the share of all young people without jobs, only the share in the labour force, excluding students. It also cannot be compared with national claimant counts, which use different non-harmonised registration rules.

Historical Data

View data as table
DateActualForecastSurprise
Jan 30, 20256.306.40-0.10
Jan 7, 20256.306.40-0.10
Oct 1, 20208.108.20-0.10
Jun 3, 20207.308.10-0.80
Nov 29, 20197.507.500.00
Jun 4, 20197.607.70-0.10

Indicator questions

Source · European Commission (Eurostat)View Source

Statistics

6 readings
  • Mean7.18
  • Std Deviation0.73
  • TrendFlat
  • Forecast Accuracy83.3%
Latest reading against its usual range (mean ± one standard deviation)
6.306.457.187.92

The latest reading is 1.2 standard deviations below the mean.