The Year-over-Year Inflation Rate measures the percentage change in the price of a basket of goods and services compared to the same month in the previous year. It is the primary gauge of purchasing power and is used by central banks to determine monetary policy and interest rate adjustments. High inflation often leads to tighter monetary policy, while low inflation may prompt stimulus measures.
It is calculated by comparing the current Consumer Price Index (CPI) to the CPI value from one year ago. The formula used is ((Current CPI - Past CPI) / Past CPI) x 100.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | — | 9.00 | — |
| Sep 15, 2026 | 9.30 | 9.80 | -0.50 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | 9.40 | 11.00 | -1.60 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | 10.70 | — | — |
| Jun 15, 2026 | 10.70 | — | — |
| Jun 15, 2026 | 10.70 | 13.00 | -2.30 |
| May 14, 2026 | 10.30 | 4.60 | +5.70 |
| May 13, 2026 | 10.30 | — | — |
| May 13, 2026 | 10.30 | — | — |
| Apr 15, 2026 | 4.20 | — | — |
| Mar 13, 2026 | 4.00 | — | — |
| Feb 13, 2026 | 4.10 | — | — |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3.90 | — | — |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3.80 | 4.00 | -0.20 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3.90 | 3.80 | +0.10 |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3.70 | 1.60 | +2.10 |
| Sep 15, 2025 | 1.40 | 1.30 | +0.10 |
| Aug 15, 2025 | 1.10 | 2.00 | -0.90 |
| Jul 15, 2025 | 2.00 | 1.80 | +0.20 |
| Jun 13, 2025 | 1.90 | 2.50 | -0.60 |
| May 14, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.90 | -0.60 |
| Apr 15, 2025 | 2.80 | 2.70 | +0.10 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 0.00 |
| Feb 14, 2025 | 2.50 | 1.90 | +0.60 |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 1.70 | 1.80 | -0.10 |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 1.70 | 1.80 | -0.10 |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1.60 | 1.30 | +0.30 |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1.50 | 3.50 | -2.00 |
| Sep 13, 2024 | 3.90 | 3.50 | +0.40 |
| Aug 15, 2024 | 3.70 | 2.60 | +1.10 |
| Jul 12, 2024 | 2.80 | 3.00 | -0.20 |
| Jun 14, 2024 | 3.00 | 3.30 | -0.30 |
| May 15, 2024 | 3.10 | 2.30 | +0.80 |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2.90 | 4.00 | -1.10 |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 3.90 | 4.20 | -0.30 |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3.90 | 3.60 | +0.30 |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3.50 | 3.70 | -0.20 |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3.10 | 3.40 | -0.30 |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 3.20 | 2.10 | +1.10 |
The latest reading is 2.0 standard deviations above the mean.
