The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a representative basket of goods and services. It is the primary gauge of inflation in the economy and a key driver for central bank interest rate decisions. A rising CPI indicates declining purchasing power and often leads to tighter monetary policy.
Calculated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) using price data collected from thousands of retail and service establishments. It uses a weighted average of prices for various categories like housing, food, and energy.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 0.33 | 0.35 | -0.02 |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 0.25 | 0.30 | -0.05 |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 0.18 | 0.20 | -0.02 |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 4.50 | 4.49 | +0.01 |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 5.17 | 5.22 | -0.05 |
| Sep 25, 2025 | 0.48 | 0.51 | -0.03 |
| Sep 10, 2025 | 5.13 | 5.10 | +0.03 |
| Aug 26, 2025 | 4.95 | 4.88 | +0.07 |
| Aug 12, 2025 | 0.26 | 0.37 | -0.11 |
| Jul 25, 2025 | 0.33 | 0.30 | +0.03 |
| Jul 10, 2025 | 5.35 | 5.32 | +0.03 |
| Jun 26, 2025 | 5.27 | 5.31 | -0.04 |
| Jun 10, 2025 | 0.26 | — | — |
| May 27, 2025 | 5.40 | 5.50 | -0.10 |
| May 9, 2025 | 5.53 | — | — |
| Apr 25, 2025 | 5.49 | 5.49 | 0.00 |
| Apr 11, 2025 | 5.48 | 5.48 | 0.00 |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 0.64 | 0.70 | -0.06 |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 1.31 | 1.30 | +0.01 |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 4.96 | 5.09 | -0.13 |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 4.83 | — | — |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 0.34 | 0.45 | -0.11 |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 0.39 | 0.37 | +0.02 |
| Sep 25, 2024 | 0.13 | 0.29 | -0.16 |
| Sep 10, 2024 | -0.02 | 0.01 | -0.03 |
| Aug 27, 2024 | 0.19 | 0.20 | -0.01 |
| Aug 9, 2024 | 0.38 | 0.35 | +0.03 |
| Jul 25, 2024 | 0.30 | 0.23 | +0.07 |
| Jul 10, 2024 | 4.23 | 4.35 | -0.12 |
| May 28, 2024 | 0.44 | 0.49 | -0.05 |
| May 10, 2024 | 3.69 | 3.66 | +0.03 |
| Apr 26, 2024 | 3.77 | 3.86 | -0.09 |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 3.93 | 4.01 | -0.08 |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 4.14 | 4.10 | +0.04 |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 4.50 | 4.44 | +0.06 |
