Retail Sales MoM measures the monthly change in the total value of sales at the retail level, serving as the primary gauge of consumer spending. Since consumer spending accounts for a significant portion of overall economic activity, this indicator is a critical driver of GDP growth. It provides early insights into household consumption patterns and the underlying strength of the domestic economy.
The data is compiled from a survey of retail firms of various sizes and types. The figure is seasonally adjusted to account for holiday periods and trading day differences, though it is not adjusted for inflation.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2025 | 1.20 | 0.40 | +0.80 |
| Jul 2, 2025 | 0.20 | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| May 30, 2025 | -0.10 | 0.30 | -0.40 |
| May 2, 2025 | 0.30 | 0.40 | -0.10 |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 0.20 | 0.30 | -0.10 |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Feb 3, 2025 | -0.10 | -0.70 | +0.60 |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 0.80 | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 0.60 | 0.30 | +0.30 |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 0.10 | 0.30 | -0.20 |
| Oct 1, 2024 | 0.70 | 0.40 | +0.30 |
| Jul 31, 2024 | 0.50 | 0.20 | +0.30 |
| Jul 3, 2024 | 0.60 | 0.20 | +0.40 |
| Jun 4, 2024 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| May 28, 2024 | 0.10 | 0.20 | -0.10 |
| May 7, 2024 | -0.40 | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| Apr 30, 2024 | -0.40 | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 0.30 | 0.40 | -0.10 |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 0.30 | 0.40 | -0.10 |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 0.00 |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1.10 | 1.50 | -0.40 |
| Feb 6, 2024 | -2.70 | 0.10 | -2.80 |
| Jan 30, 2024 | -2.70 | -1.00 | -1.70 |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2.00 | 1.20 | +0.80 |
| Dec 4, 2023 | -0.20 | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| Nov 28, 2023 | -0.20 | 0.10 | -0.30 |
| Nov 3, 2023 | 0.90 | -0.20 | +1.10 |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 0.90 | 0.30 | +0.60 |
| Oct 6, 2023 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Sep 28, 2023 | 0.20 | 0.30 | -0.10 |
| Aug 28, 2023 | 0.50 | 0.30 | +0.20 |
| Aug 3, 2023 | -0.80 | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| Jul 28, 2023 | -0.80 | -0.30 | -0.50 |
| Jul 5, 2023 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.00 |
| Jun 29, 2023 | 0.70 | 0.10 | +0.60 |
| May 9, 2023 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| May 3, 2023 | 0.40 | 0.30 | +0.10 |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 0.20 | 0.10 | +0.10 |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 0.00 |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1.90 | 1.50 | +0.40 |
| Feb 6, 2023 | -3.90 | -0.60 | -3.30 |
| Jan 31, 2023 | -3.90 | -0.30 | -3.60 |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1.40 | 0.60 | +0.80 |
| Dec 2, 2022 | -0.20 | — | — |
| Nov 28, 2022 | -0.20 | 0.50 | -0.70 |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.00 |
