The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a representative basket of goods and services. It is the primary gauge of inflation in the economy and a key driver for central bank interest rate decisions. A rising CPI indicates declining purchasing power and often leads to tighter monetary policy.
Calculated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) using price data collected from thousands of retail and service establishments. It uses a weighted average of prices for various categories like housing, food, and energy.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3.76 | 3.80 | -0.04 |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3.80 | — | — |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 0.31 | 0.40 | -0.09 |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 4.10 | — | — |
| Oct 17, 2025 | -0.20 | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| Oct 1, 2025 | -0.20 | — | — |
| Sep 17, 2025 | 4.12 | 4.10 | +0.02 |
| Sep 2, 2025 | 0.20 | — | — |
| Aug 20, 2025 | 3.63 | 3.50 | +0.13 |
| Aug 1, 2025 | 0.20 | — | — |
| Jul 17, 2025 | 3.31 | 3.30 | +0.01 |
| Jul 1, 2025 | 0.50 | — | — |
| Jun 18, 2025 | -0.08 | -0.16 | +0.08 |
| Jun 3, 2025 | -0.10 | — | — |
| May 19, 2025 | 0.16 | 0.20 | -0.04 |
| May 2, 2025 | 3.10 | — | — |
| Apr 16, 2025 | 2.91 | 2.90 | +0.01 |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 0.20 | — | — |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 3.25 | 3.30 | -0.05 |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 0.60 | — | — |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 2.04 | 2.00 | +0.04 |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 0.32 | 0.30 | +0.02 |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1.81 | 1.80 | +0.01 |
| Aug 30, 2024 | -0.20 | — | — |
| Jul 19, 2024 | 3.00 | 3.10 | -0.10 |
| Jun 18, 2024 | 0.08 | — | — |
| May 17, 2024 | 0.08 | 0.10 | -0.02 |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 4.12 | 4.20 | -0.08 |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 123.30 | 123.20 | +0.10 |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 122.60 | 122.40 | +0.20 |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 122.10 | 122.30 | -0.20 |
| Oct 18, 2023 | 121.40 | 121.50 | -0.10 |
| Sep 19, 2023 | 120.90 | — | — |
| Aug 18, 2023 | 120.50 | — | — |
| Jul 19, 2023 | 120.40 | — | — |
| Jun 16, 2023 | 119.90 | — | — |
| May 17, 2023 | 119.70 | — | — |
| Apr 19, 2023 | 118.80 | — | — |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 118.20 | — | — |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 116.10 | — | — |