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Industrial Production Year-over-Year (YoY) measures the change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities compared to the same month in the previous year. It is a key indicator of economic strength, as the industrial sector accounts for a significant portion of GDP and is highly sensitive to interest rates and consumer demand. Consistent growth in industrial production often precedes broader economic expansion.
The index is compiled using physical output data from various industries, weighted by their contribution to the total economy. The YoY figure compares the current month's index level to the level from 12 months prior.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | 11.70 | 4.70 | +7.00 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | 7.00 | 15.00 | -8.00 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 23.80 | 19.00 | +4.80 |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 10.60 | 28.00 | -17.40 |
| Jan 30, 2026 | 38.60 | 24.00 | +14.60 |
| Dec 25, 2025 | 31.70 | 25.00 | +6.70 |
| Nov 25, 2025 | 17.90 | 9.00 | +8.90 |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 10.10 | 4.60 | +5.50 |
| Sep 25, 2025 | 5.80 | 4.50 | +1.30 |
| Aug 25, 2025 | 4.20 | -2.80 | +7.00 |
| Jul 25, 2025 | -1.20 | -2.20 | +1.00 |
| Jun 25, 2025 | -5.90 | -4.00 | -1.90 |
| May 26, 2025 | -8.70 | -8.00 | -0.70 |
| Apr 25, 2025 | -16.90 | -25.00 | +8.10 |
| Mar 25, 2025 | -26.60 | -15.00 | -11.60 |
| Feb 25, 2025 | -10.40 | -9.00 | -1.40 |
| Jan 31, 2025 | -14.80 | -2.50 | -12.30 |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 5.30 | 2.50 | +2.80 |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 4.60 | 3.20 | +1.40 |
| Sep 25, 2024 | 2.10 | 2.60 | -0.50 |
| Aug 26, 2024 | 2.20 | 1.00 | +1.20 |
| Jul 25, 2024 | 1.40 | 5.70 | -4.30 |
| Jun 25, 2024 | 6.90 | 11.00 | -4.10 |
| May 27, 2024 | 16.30 | 28.00 | -11.70 |
| Apr 25, 2024 | 33.50 | 18.00 | +15.50 |
| Mar 25, 2024 | 36.40 | 23.00 | +13.40 |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 21.00 | 14.00 | +7.00 |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 20.00 | 15.00 | +5.00 |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 0.60 | -3.00 | +3.60 |
| Oct 25, 2023 | -4.30 | -2.00 | -2.30 |