The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Measures the change in the total value of inflation-adjusted sales at the retail level compared to the same month in the previous year. It is a primary indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity. High readings suggest a robust economy and increased consumer confidence, often leading to inflationary pressure.
Calculated by surveying a broad sample of retail firms of various sizes and types across the country. The data is then weighted to represent the entire retail sector and adjusted for seasonal variations to ensure accuracy.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | 0.10 | 1.60 | -1.50 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | 0.20 | 3.50 | -3.30 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 5.60 | 1.00 | +4.60 |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 0.70 | 1.30 | -0.60 |
| Jan 30, 2026 | 3.20 | 2.00 | +1.20 |
| Dec 26, 2025 | 1.50 | 1.90 | -0.40 |
| Nov 25, 2025 | 1.00 | 0.70 | +0.30 |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 0.90 | 1.00 | -0.10 |
| Sep 25, 2025 | 1.70 | 4.00 | -2.30 |
| Aug 25, 2025 | 3.80 | 3.00 | +0.80 |
| Jul 25, 2025 | 2.80 | -0.40 | +3.20 |
| Jun 25, 2025 | 0.90 | 3.00 | -2.10 |
| May 26, 2025 | 3.20 | 2.60 | +0.60 |
| Apr 25, 2025 | 3.20 | 3.90 | -0.70 |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 6.00 | 7.00 | -1.00 |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 9.90 | 8.00 | +1.90 |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 10.30 | 9.00 | +1.30 |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 13.70 | 11.00 | +2.70 |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 13.40 | 13.00 | +0.40 |
| Sep 25, 2024 | 14.90 | 12.00 | +2.90 |
| Aug 26, 2024 | 14.00 | 15.80 | -1.80 |
| Jul 25, 2024 | 16.20 | 15.00 | +1.20 |
| Jun 25, 2024 | 17.60 | 26.00 | -8.40 |
| May 27, 2024 | 27.20 | 32.00 | -4.80 |
| Apr 25, 2024 | 30.40 | 20.00 | +10.40 |
| Mar 25, 2024 | 28.30 | 18.50 | +9.80 |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 19.30 | 21.00 | -1.70 |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 35.90 | 33.00 | +2.90 |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 26.30 | 23.00 | +3.30 |
| Oct 25, 2023 | 24.20 | 22.00 | +2.20 |