Central Bank
| Economic Indicators | Trend | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Car Production YoY (Jan) | -8.2 | 17.7 | 5.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| CBI Distributive Trades (Feb) | -43 | -17 | -17 | Missed Expectations | ||
| New Car Registrations YoY (Jan) | 3.4 | 3.9 | — |
| New Car Registrations MoM (Jan) | -1.5 | -3.2 | — |
| CFTC GBP speculative net positions | -42.4 | -25.8 | — |
| Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks (Jan) | 30.4 | -13.4 | 19 | Beat Expectations |
| Core RPI MoM (Jan) | -0.5 | 0.7 | — |
| Core RPI YoY (Jan) | 3.7 | 4.1 | — |
| Average Earnings excl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr) (Dec) | 4.2 | — | 4.4 | Missed Expectations |
| Claimant Count Change (Jan) | 28.6 | 2.7 | 22 | Beat Expectations |
| Average Earnings excl. Bonus (Dec) | 4.2 | 4.4 | 4.2 | In Line |
| Average Earnings incl. Bonus (Dec) | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.4 | Missed Expectations |
| Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (Feb) | 49 | 49.2 | — |
| Business Investment YoY (Q4) | 2 | 2.5 | 3.1 | Missed Expectations |
| Balance of Trade (Dec) | -4.34 | -11.33 | -6 | Beat Expectations |
| Business Investment QoQ (Q4) | -2.7 | 1.6 | 0.5 | Missed Expectations |
| BBA Mortgage Rate (Jan) | 6.62 | 6.77 | 6.7 | Missed Expectations |
| BoE MPC Vote Unchanged | 5 | 4 | 7 | Missed Expectations |
| BoE MPC Vote Hike | 0 | 0 | 0 | In Line |
| BoE MPC Vote Cut | 4 | 5 | 2 | Beat Expectations |
| New Car Sales YoY (Jan) | 3.4 | 3.9 | 2 | Beat Expectations |
| Mortgage Lending (Dec) | 4.6 | 4.59 | 4.6 | In Line |
| M4 Money Supply MoM (Dec) | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | Missed Expectations |
| Mortgage Approvals (Dec) | 61.01 | 64.07 | 64.4 | Missed Expectations |
| Net Lending to Individuals (Dec) | 6.1 | 6.6 | 6.1 | In Line |
| Net Lending to Individuals MoM (Dec) | 6.1 | — | 4.2 | Beat Expectations |
| Car Production YoY (Dec) | 17.7 | -14.3 | 6.7 | Beat Expectations |
| New Car Registrations YoY (Dec) | 3.9 | -1.6 | — |
| New Car Registrations MoM (Dec) | -3.2 | 4.3 | — |
| CBI Distributive Trades (Jan) | -17 | -44 | -57 | Beat Expectations |
| Public Sector Net Borrowing (Dec) | -11.58 | -10.94 | -13.4 | Beat Expectations |
| Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks (Dec) | -11.58 | -11.65 | -15 | Beat Expectations |
| Core RPI MoM (Dec) | 0.7 | -0.5 | — |
| Core RPI YoY (Dec) | 4.1 | 3.7 | — |
| Average Earnings excl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr) (Nov) | 4.5 | 4.6 | 4.5 | In Line |
| Average Earnings incl. Bonus (Nov) | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.5 | Beat Expectations |
| Average Earnings excl. Bonus (Nov) | 4.5 | 4.6 | 4.5 | In Line |
| Claimant Count Change (Dec) | 17.9 | 20.1 | 20.5 | Missed Expectations |
| Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (Jan) | 49.2 | 47.3 | — |
| Balance of Trade (Nov) | -6.116 | -6.531 | -3.5 | Missed Expectations |
| BBA Mortgage Rate (Dec) | 6.77 | 6.81 | 6.6 | Beat Expectations |
| New Car Sales YoY (Dec) | 3.9 | -1.6 | -1 | Beat Expectations |
| M4 Money Supply MoM (Nov) | 0.8 | -0.2 | -0.1 | Beat Expectations |
| Mortgage Approvals (Nov) | 64.53 | 65.01 | 64.4 | Beat Expectations |
| Mortgage Lending (Nov) | 4.49 | 4.16 | 4.5 | Missed Expectations |
| Net Lending to Individuals (Nov) | 6.6 | 5.4 | 5.2 | Beat Expectations |
| Net Lending to Individuals MoM (Nov) | 6.6 | 5.9 | 5.2 | Beat Expectations |
| New Car Registrations YoY (Nov) | -1.6 | 0.5 | — |
| New Car Registrations MoM (Nov) | 4.3 | -53.7 | — |
| Business Investment YoY (Q3) | 2.7 | 3.2 | 0.7 | Beat Expectations |
| Business Investment QoQ (Q3) | 1.5 | -1.7 | -0.3 | Beat Expectations |
| CBI Distributive Trades (Dec) | -44 | -32 | -30 | Missed Expectations |
| Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks (Nov) | -11.65 | -21.19 | -10 | Missed Expectations |
| Car Production YoY (Nov) | -14.3 | -23.8 | -7.6 | Missed Expectations |
| Core RPI MoM (Nov) | -0.5 | 0.3 | — |
| Core RPI YoY (Nov) | 3.7 | 4.2 | — |
| Average Earnings excl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr) (Oct) | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.5 | Beat Expectations |
| Claimant Count Change (Nov) | 20.1 | -3.9 | 22.3 | Missed Expectations |
| Average Earnings excl. Bonus (Oct) | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.5 | Beat Expectations |
| Average Earnings incl. Bonus (Oct) | 4.7 | 4.9 | 4.4 | Beat Expectations |
| Balance of Trade (Oct) | -4.824 | -1.094 | -1.9 | Missed Expectations |
| Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (Dec) | 47.3 | 46.1 | — |
| BBA Mortgage Rate (Nov) | 6.81 | 6.81 | 6.7 | Beat Expectations |
| New Car Sales YoY (Nov) | -1.6 | 0.5 | 1 | Missed Expectations |
| Mortgage Approvals (Oct) | 65.02 | 65.65 | 64.2 | Beat Expectations |
| Mortgage Lending (Oct) | 4.27 | 5.22 | 4.5 | Missed Expectations |
| M4 Money Supply MoM (Oct) | -0.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | Missed Expectations |
| Net Lending to Individuals MoM (Oct) | 5.4 | 6.6 | 6.4 | Missed Expectations |
| Net Lending to Individuals (Oct) | 5.4 | 6.6 | 6.4 | Missed Expectations |
| Car Production YoY (Oct) | -23.8 | -27 | -25 | Beat Expectations |
| CBI Distributive Trades (Nov) | -32 | -27 | -30 | Missed Expectations |
| New Car Registrations YoY (Oct) | 0.5 | 13.7 | — |
| New Car Registrations MoM (Oct) | -53.7 | 277.4 | — |
| Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks (Oct) | -17.43 | -19.89 | -15.2 | Missed Expectations |
| Core RPI MoM (Oct) | 0.3 | -0.4 | — |
| Core RPI YoY (Oct) | 4.2 | 4.4 | — |
| Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (Nov) | 46.1 | 48.3 | — |
| Balance of Trade (Sep) | -1.094 | -1.276 | -2.8 | Beat Expectations |
| Average Earnings excl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr) (Sep) | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.6 | In Line |
| Claimant Count Change (Oct) | 29 | 0.4 | 20.3 | Beat Expectations |
| Average Earnings excl. Bonus (Sep) | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.6 | In Line |
| Average Earnings incl. Bonus (Sep) | 4.8 | 5 | 4.9 | Missed Expectations |
| BBA Mortgage Rate (Oct) | 6.78 | 6.78 | 6.7 | Beat Expectations |
| New Car Sales YoY (Oct) | 0.5 | 13.7 | 13 | Missed Expectations |
| M4 Money Supply MoM (Sep) | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations |
| Net Lending to Individuals MoM (Sep) | 7 | 6 | 5.5 | Beat Expectations |
| Mortgage Approvals (Sep) | 65.94 | 64.96 | 64 | Beat Expectations |
| Mortgage Lending (Sep) | 5.49 | 4.28 | 4.1 | Beat Expectations |
| Net Lending to Individuals (Sep) | 7 | 6 | 5.6 | Beat Expectations |
| New Car Registrations MoM (Sep) | 277.4 | -40.8 | — |
| New Car Registrations YoY (Sep) | 13.7 | -2 | — |
| CBI Distributive Trades (Oct) | -27 | -29 | -27 | In Line |
| Car Production YoY (Sep) | -27 | -10.2 | -8 | Missed Expectations |
| Core RPI YoY (Sep) | 4.4 | 4.4 | — |
| Core RPI MoM (Sep) | -0.4 | 0.4 | — |
| Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks (Sep) | -20.2 | -15.32 | -20.5 | Beat Expectations |
| Balance of Trade (Aug) | -3.386 | -3.016 | -5.1 | Beat Expectations |
| Average Earnings excl. Bonus (Aug) | 4.7 | 4.8 | 4.7 | In Line |
| Average Earnings excl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr) (Aug) | 4.7 | 4.8 | 4.7 | In Line |
| Average Earnings incl. Bonus (Aug) | 5 | 4.8 | 4.7 | Beat Expectations |
| Claimant Count Change (Sep) | 25.8 | -2 | 10.3 | Beat Expectations |
| Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (Oct) | 48.3 | 49.9 | — |
| BBA Mortgage Rate (Sep) | 6.78 | 6.86 | 6.9 | Missed Expectations |
| New Car Sales YoY (Sep) | 13.7 | -2 | 5 | Beat Expectations |
| Business Investment QoQ (Q2) | -1.1 | 4.1 | -4 | Beat Expectations |
| Business Investment YoY (Q2) | 3 | 5.8 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations |
| Mortgage Lending (Aug) | 4.31 | 4.51 | 4.8 | Missed Expectations |
| M4 Money Supply MoM (Aug) | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | Beat Expectations |
| Mortgage Approvals (Aug) | 64.68 | 65.16 | 64.5 | Beat Expectations |
| Net Lending to Individuals (Aug) | 6 | 6.144 | 6.3 | Missed Expectations |
| Net Lending to Individuals MoM (Aug) | 6 | 6.175 | 6.3 | Missed Expectations |
| CBI Distributive Trades (Sep) | -29 | -32 | -26 | Missed Expectations |
| New Car Registrations MoM (Aug) | -40.8 | -26.7 | — |
| New Car Registrations YoY (Aug) | -2 | -5 | — |
| Car Production YoY (Aug) | -10.2 | 5.6 | 5 | Missed Expectations |
| Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks (Aug) | -17.96 | -2.82 | -12.75 | Missed Expectations |
| Core RPI MoM (Aug) | 0.4 | 0.4 | — |
| Core RPI YoY (Aug) | 4.4 | 4.7 | — |
| Claimant Count Change (Aug) | 17.4 | -33.3 | 20.3 | Missed Expectations |
| Average Earnings incl. Bonus (Jul) | 4.7 | 4.6 | 4.7 | In Line |
| Average Earnings excl. Bonus (Jul) | 4.8 | 5 | 4.8 | In Line |
| Average Earnings excl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr) (Jul) | 4.8 | 5 | 4.8 | In Line |
| Balance of Trade (Jul) | -5.26 | -5.015 | -4.85 | Missed Expectations |
| Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (Sep) | 49.9 | 50.6 | — |
| BBA Mortgage Rate (Aug) | 6.86 | 6.95 | 6.9 | Missed Expectations |
| New Car Sales YoY (Aug) | -2 | -5 | -2 | In Line |
| Net Lending to Individuals MoM (Jul) | 6.14 | 6.86 | 4.9 | Beat Expectations |
| Net Lending to Individuals (Jul) | 6.144 | 6.861 | 4.9 | Beat Expectations |
| M4 Money Supply MoM (Jul) | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | Missed Expectations |
| Mortgage Approvals (Jul) | 65.35 | 64.57 | 64.4 | Beat Expectations |
| Mortgage Lending (Jul) | 4.52 | 5.39 | 3.4 | Beat Expectations |
| Car Production YoY (Jul) | 5.6 | -6.5 | -12 | Beat Expectations |
| New Car Registrations MoM (Jul) | -26.7 | 27.5 | — |
| New Car Registrations YoY (Jul) | -5 | 6.7 | — |
| CBI Distributive Trades (Aug) | -32 | -34 | -33 | Beat Expectations |
| Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks (Jul) | -1.05 | -22.56 | -2.6 | Beat Expectations |
| Public Sector Net Borrowing (Jun) | 1.05 | 22.56 | 2.1 | Missed Expectations |
| Core RPI MoM (Jul) | 0.4 | 0.4 | — |
| Core RPI YoY (Jul) | 4.7 | 4.3 | — |
| Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (Aug) | 50.6 | 52.1 | — |
| Balance of Trade (Jun) | -5.015 | -4.548 | -4.3 | Missed Expectations |
| Claimant Count Change (Jul) | -6.2 | -15.5 | 19.7 | Missed Expectations |
| Average Earnings incl. Bonus (Jun) | 4.6 | 5 | 4.7 | Missed Expectations |
| Average Earnings excl. Bonus (Jun) | 5 | 5 | 5 | In Line |
| Average Earnings excl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr) (Jun) | 5 | 5 | 5 | In Line |
| BBA Mortgage Rate (Jul) | 6.99 | 6.98 | 6.9 | Beat Expectations |
| New Car Registrations YoY | -5 | 6.7 | — |
| New Car Sales YoY (Jul) | -5 | 6.7 | 6 | Missed Expectations |
| M4 Money Supply MoM (Jun) | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | In Line |
| Mortgage Approvals (Jun) | 64.17 | 63.29 | 62.5 | Beat Expectations |
| Mortgage Lending (Jun) | 5.34 | 2.21 | 0.8 | Beat Expectations |
| Net Lending to Individuals (Jun) | 6.757 | 2.9 | 3.7 | Beat Expectations |
| Net Lending to Individuals MoM (Jun) | 6.76 | 3.13 | 3.7 | Beat Expectations |
| CBI Distributive Trades (Jul) | -34 | -46 | -26 | Missed Expectations |
| Car Production YoY (Jun) | -6.5 | -32.8 | -27 | Beat Expectations |
| New Car Registrations MoM (Jun) | 27.5 | 24.7 | — |
| New Car Registrations YoY (Jun) | 6.7 | 1.6 | — |
| Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks (Jun) | -20.68 | -17.44 | -15.6 | Missed Expectations |
| Average Earnings excl. Bonus (May) | 5 | 5.3 | 4.9 | Beat Expectations |
| Average Earnings excl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr) (May) | 5 | 5.3 | 4.9 | Beat Expectations |
| Average Earnings incl. Bonus (May) | 5 | 5.4 | 5 | In Line |
| Claimant Count Change (Jun) | 25.9 | 15.3 | 17.9 | Beat Expectations |
| Core RPI MoM (Jun) | 0.4 | 0.2 | — |
| Core RPI YoY (Jun) | 4.3 | 4.1 | — |
| Balance of Trade (May) | -5.699 | -6.502 | -6 | Beat Expectations |
| Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (Jul) | 52.1 | 52.1 | — |
| BBA Mortgage Rate (Jun) | 6.98 | 7.09 | 7.1 | Missed Expectations |
| New Car Sales YoY (Jun) | 6.7 | 1.6 | 5 | Beat Expectations |
| M4 Money Supply MoM (May) | 0.2 | -0.1 | 0.2 | In Line |
| Mortgage Approvals (May) | 63.03 | 60.66 | 59.75 | Beat Expectations |
| Mortgage Lending (May) | 2.05 | -0.78 | 2.5 | Missed Expectations |
| Net Lending to Individuals (May) | 2.9 | 1.17 | 4.1 | Missed Expectations |
| Net Lending to Individuals MoM (May) | 2.9 | 1.17 | 4.1 | Missed Expectations |
| Business Investment QoQ (Q1) | 3.9 | -1.9 | 5.8 | Missed Expectations |
| Business Investment YoY (Q1) | 6.1 | 1.8 | 8.1 | Missed Expectations |
| Car Production YoY (May) | -32.8 | -15.8 | -9 | Missed Expectations |
| CBI Distributive Trades (Jun) | -46 | -27 | -32 | Missed Expectations |
| New Car Registrations YoY (May) | 1.6 | -10.4 | — |
| New Car Registrations MoM (May) | 24.7 | -66.3 | — |
| Public Sector Net Borrowing (May) | 17.69 | 20.05 | 17.9 | Missed Expectations |
| Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks (May) | -17.69 | -20.05 | -17.1 | Missed Expectations |
| Core RPI MoM (May) | 0.2 | 1.8 | — |
| Core RPI YoY (May) | 4.1 | 4.2 | — |
| Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (Jun) | 52.1 | 49.3 | — |
| Balance of Trade (Apr) | -7.026 | -3.696 | -4.2 | Missed Expectations |
| Average Earnings excl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr) (Apr) | 5.2 | 5.5 | 5.4 | Missed Expectations |
| Average Earnings incl. Bonus (Apr) | 5.3 | 5.6 | 5.5 | Missed Expectations |
| Average Earnings excl. Bonus (Apr) | 5.2 | 5.5 | 5.4 | Missed Expectations |
| Claimant Count Change (May) | 33.1 | 5.2 | 9.5 | Beat Expectations |
| BBA Mortgage Rate (May) | 7.09 | 7.19 | 7.15 | Missed Expectations |
| New Car Sales YoY (May) | 1.6 | -10.4 | 4 | Missed Expectations |
| M4 Money Supply MoM (Apr) | 0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | Missed Expectations |
| Mortgage Approvals (Apr) | 60.46 | 63.6 | 63 | Missed Expectations |
| Mortgage Lending (Apr) | -0.76 | 12.96 | -0.5 | Missed Expectations |
| Net Lending to Individuals (Apr) | 0.82 | 13.8 | 2.8 | Missed Expectations |
| Net Lending to Individuals MoM (Apr) | 0.82 | 13.8 | 2.8 | Missed Expectations |
| Car Production YoY (Apr) | -15.8 | 17.1 | 13 | Missed Expectations |
| CBI Distributive Trades (May) | -27 | -8 | -18 | Missed Expectations |
| New Car Registrations MoM (Apr) | -66.3 | 324.8 | — |
| New Car Registrations YoY (Apr) | -10.4 | 12.4 | — |
| Public Sector Net Borrowing (Apr) | 20.16 | 14.14 | 18 | Beat Expectations |
| Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks (Apr) | -20.16 | -14.14 | -17.9 | Missed Expectations |
| Core RPI MoM (Apr) | 1.8 | 0.3 | — |
| Core RPI YoY (Apr) | 4.2 | 2.8 | — |
| Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (May) | 49.3 | 49 | — |
| Balance of Trade (Mar) | -3.696 | -4.856 | -2.7 | Missed Expectations |
| Average Earnings incl. Bonus (Mar) | 5.5 | 5.7 | 5.2 | Beat Expectations |
| Average Earnings excl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr) (Mar) | 5.6 | 5.9 | 5.7 | Missed Expectations |
| Claimant Count Change (Apr) | 5.2 | -16.9 | 22.3 | Missed Expectations |
| Average Earnings excl. Bonus (Mar) | 5.6 | 5.9 | 5.7 | Missed Expectations |
| BBA Mortgage Rate (Apr) | 7.21 | 7.23 | 7.2 | Beat Expectations |
| New Car Sales YoY (Apr) | -10.4 | 12.4 | 3.5 | Missed Expectations |
| M4 Money Supply MoM (Mar) | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | Missed Expectations |
| Net Lending to Individuals (Mar) | 13.8 | 4.6 | 4.4 | Beat Expectations |
| Mortgage Approvals (Mar) | 64.31 | 65.09 | 64 | Beat Expectations |
| Mortgage Lending (Mar) | 12.96 | 3.3 | 3.4 | Beat Expectations |
| Net Lending to Individuals MoM (Mar) | 13.8 | 4.6 | 3.9 | Beat Expectations |
| CBI Distributive Trades (Apr) | -8 | -41 | -20 | Beat Expectations |
| Car Production YoY (Mar) | 17.1 | -11.6 | -12 | Beat Expectations |
| New Car Registrations MoM (Mar) | 324.8 | -39.7 | — |
| New Car Registrations YoY (Mar) | 12.4 | -1 | — |
| Public Sector Net Borrowing (Mar) | 16.44 | 12.31 | 15.4 | Beat Expectations |
| Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks (Mar) | -16.44 | -12.31 | -16.05 | Missed Expectations |
| Core RPI MoM (Mar) | 0.3 | 0.6 | — |
| Core RPI YoY (Mar) | 2.8 | 3 | — |
| Average Earnings incl. Bonus (Feb) | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.7 | Missed Expectations |
| Claimant Count Change (Mar) | 18.7 | 16.5 | 30.3 | Missed Expectations |
| Average Earnings excl. Bonus (Feb) | 5.9 | 5.8 | 6 | Missed Expectations |
| Average Earnings excl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr) (Feb) | 5.9 | 5.8 | 6 | Missed Expectations |
| Balance of Trade (Feb) | -1.956 | 0.301 | -1.1 | Missed Expectations |
| Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (Apr) | 49 | 47.4 | — |
| BBA Mortgage Rate (Mar) | 7.23 | 7.33 | 7.3 | Missed Expectations |
| New Car Sales YoY (Mar) | 12.4 | -1 | -7 | Beat Expectations |
| M4 Money Supply MoM (Feb) | 0.2 | 1.4 | 1.1 | Missed Expectations |
| Mortgage Approvals (Feb) | 65.48 | 66.04 | 66 | Missed Expectations |
| Mortgage Lending (Feb) | 3.29 | 4.23 | 4.2 | Missed Expectations |
| Net Lending to Individuals (Feb) | 4.6 | 5.947 | 4.9 | Missed Expectations |
| Net Lending to Individuals MoM (Feb) | 4.6 | 5.9 | 4.9 | Missed Expectations |
| Balance of Trade (Jan) | -2.64 | -2.82 | -3.5 | Beat Expectations |
| Economic Indicators | Trend | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Confidence (Feb) | -19 | -16 | -16 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales YoY (Jan) | 4.5 | 1.9 | 2.7 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY (Jan) | 5.5 | — | 3.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales MoM (Jan) | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM (Jan) | 2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY (Jan) | 2.3 | 1 | 1.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| BoE Consumer Credit (Dec) | 1.524 | 2.143 | 1.9 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales YoY (Dec) | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales MoM (Dec) | 0.4 | -0.1 | -0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY (Dec) | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.7 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM (Dec) | 0.3 | -0.2 | -0.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Consumer Confidence (Jan) | -16 | -17 | -17 | Beat Expectations | ||
| BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY (Dec) | 1 | 1.2 | 0.6 | Beat Expectations | ||
| BoE Consumer Credit (Nov) | 2.077 | 1.713 | 1.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales MoM (Nov) | -0.1 | -0.9 | 0.4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY (Nov) | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.6 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM (Nov) | -0.2 | -0.8 | 0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales YoY (Nov) | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Consumer Confidence (Dec) | -17 | -19 | -18 | Beat Expectations | ||
| BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY (Nov) | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| BoE Consumer Credit (Oct) | 1.119 | 1.398 | 1.35 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales YoY (Oct) | 0.2 | 1 | 1.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales MoM (Oct) | -1.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY (Oct) | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM (Oct) | -1 | 0.7 | -0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Consumer Confidence (Nov) | -19 | -17 | -18 | Missed Expectations | ||
| BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY (Oct) | 1.5 | 2 | 1.7 | Missed Expectations | ||
| BoE Consumer Credit (Sep) | 1.491 | 1.749 | 1.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales YoY (Sep) | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM (Sep) | 0.6 | 1 | -0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY (Sep) | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales MoM (Sep) | 0.5 | 0.6 | -0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Consumer Confidence (Oct) | -17 | -19 | -20 | Beat Expectations | ||
| BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY (Sep) | 2 | 2.9 | 2.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| BoE Consumer Credit (Aug) | 1.692 | 1.669 | 1.6 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM (Aug) | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.7 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY (Aug) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales MoM (Aug) | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales YoY (Aug) | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.6 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Consumer Confidence (Sep) | -19 | -17 | -18 | Missed Expectations | ||
| BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY (Aug) | 2.9 | 1.8 | 2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales YoY (Jul) | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales MoM (Jul) | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY (Jul) | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM (Jul) | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| BoE Consumer Credit (Jul) | 1.622 | 1.471 | 1.35 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Consumer Confidence (Aug) | -17 | -19 | -20 | Beat Expectations | ||
| BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY (Jul) | 1.8 | 2.7 | 2.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| BoE Consumer Credit (Jun) | 1.417 | 0.92 | 1.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales YoY (Jun) | 1.7 | -1.1 | 1.8 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales MoM (Jun) | 0.9 | -2.8 | 1.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY (Jun) | 1.8 | -1.2 | 2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM (Jun) | 0.6 | -2.9 | 1.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Consumer Confidence (Jul) | -19 | -18 | -20 | Beat Expectations | ||
| BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY (Jun) | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| BoE Consumer Credit (May) | 0.859 | 1.944 | 1.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales YoY (May) | -1.3 | 5 | 1.7 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM (May) | -2.8 | 1.4 | -0.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY (May) | -1.3 | 5.2 | 1.8 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales MoM (May) | -2.7 | 1.3 | -0.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Consumer Confidence (Jun) | -18 | -20 | -20 | Beat Expectations | ||
| BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY (May) | 0.6 | 6.8 | 2.7 | Missed Expectations | ||
| BoE Consumer Credit (Apr) | 1.58 | 1.102 | 1.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM (Apr) | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY (Apr) | 5.3 | 2.6 | 4.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales MoM (Apr) | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales YoY (Apr) | 5 | 1.9 | 4.5 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Consumer Confidence (May) | -20 | -23 | -22 | Beat Expectations | ||
| BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY (Apr) | 6.8 | 0.9 | 2.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| BoE Consumer Credit (Mar) | 0.875 | 1.307 | 1.4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales YoY (Mar) | 2.6 | 1.8 | 1.8 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales MoM (Mar) | 0.4 | 0.7 | -0.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM (Mar) | 0.5 | 0.7 | -0.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY (Mar) | 3.3 | 1.8 | 2.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Consumer Confidence (Apr) | -23 | -19 | -22 | Missed Expectations | ||
| BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY (Mar) | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | Beat Expectations | ||
| BoE Consumer Credit (Feb) | 1.358 | 1.701 | 1.5 | Missed Expectations |
| Economic Indicators | Trend | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash (Feb) | 52 | 51.8 | 51.9 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Composite PMI (Feb) | 53.9 | 53.7 | 53.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Composite PMI Flash (Feb) | 53.9 | 53.7 | 53.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Services PMI (Feb) | 53.9 | 54 | 53.5 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Feb) | 52 | 51.8 | 51.5 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Services PMI Flash (Feb) | 53.9 | 54 | 53.6 | Beat Expectations | ||
| CBI Industrial Trends Orders (Feb) | -28 | -30 | -25 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production MoM (Dec) | -0.9 | 1.3 | -0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production YoY (Dec) | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1.6 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Production MoM (Dec) | -0.5 | 1.9 | -0.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Production YoY (Dec) | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Services PMI (Jan) | 54 | 51.4 | 54.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Composite PMI (Jan) | 53.7 | 51.4 | 53.9 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jan) | 51.8 | 50.6 | 51.6 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Services PMI Flash (Jan) | 54.3 | 51.4 | 51.5 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Composite PMI Flash (Jan) | 53.9 | 51.4 | 51.7 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash (Jan) | 51.6 | 50.6 | 50.8 | Beat Expectations | ||
| CBI Business Optimism Index (Q1) | -19 | -31 | -27 | Beat Expectations | ||
| CBI Industrial Trends Orders (Jan) | -30 | -32 | -28 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Production YoY (Nov) | 2.1 | -0.2 | -0.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production MoM (Nov) | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production YoY (Nov) | 2.3 | 0.4 | -0.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Production MoM (Nov) | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Services PMI (Dec) | 51.4 | 51.3 | 52.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Composite PMI (Dec) | 51.4 | 51.2 | 52.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Dec) | 50.6 | 50.2 | 51.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| CBI Industrial Trends Orders (Dec) | -32 | -37 | -35 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash (Dec) | 51.2 | 50.2 | 51.2 | In Line | ||
| S&P Global Services PMI Flash (Dec) | 52.1 | 51.3 | 52 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Composite PMI Flash (Dec) | 52.1 | 51.2 | 51.9 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production MoM (Oct) | 1.1 | -2 | 0.7 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production YoY (Oct) | -0.8 | -2.5 | -1.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Production MoM (Oct) | 0.5 | -1.7 | 1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Production YoY (Oct) | -0.8 | -2.2 | -0.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Services PMI (Nov) | 51.3 | 52.3 | 50.5 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Composite PMI (Nov) | 51.2 | 52.2 | 50.5 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Nov) | 50.2 | 49.7 | 50.2 | In Line | ||
| S&P Global Composite PMI Flash (Nov) | 50.5 | 52.2 | 52.6 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Services PMI Flash (Nov) | 50.5 | 52.3 | 52 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash (Nov) | 50.2 | 49.7 | 49.5 | Beat Expectations | ||
| CBI Industrial Trends Orders (Nov) | -37 | -38 | -30 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production YoY (Sep) | -2.5 | -0.5 | -1.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production MoM (Sep) | -2 | 0.3 | -0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Production MoM (Sep) | -1.7 | 0.6 | -0.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Production YoY (Sep) | -2.2 | -0.7 | -0.8 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Services PMI (Oct) | 52.3 | 50.8 | 51.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Composite PMI (Oct) | 52.2 | 50.1 | 51.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Oct) | 49.7 | 46.2 | 49.6 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Composite PMI Flash (Oct) | 51.1 | 50.1 | 50.5 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Services PMI Flash (Oct) | 51.1 | 50.8 | 51.1 | In Line | ||
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash (Oct) | 49.6 | 46.2 | 46.7 | Beat Expectations | ||
| CBI Business Optimism Index (Q4) | -31 | -27 | -29 | Missed Expectations | ||
| CBI Industrial Trends Orders (Oct) | -38 | -27 | -30 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production YoY (Aug) | -0.7 | -0.1 | -0.6 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production MoM (Aug) | 0.4 | -0.4 | 0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Production YoY (Aug) | -0.8 | -0.1 | -1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Production MoM (Aug) | 0.7 | -1.1 | 0.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Services PMI (Sep) | 50.8 | 54.2 | 51.9 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Composite PMI (Sep) | 50.1 | 53.5 | 51 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Sep) | 46.2 | 47 | 46.2 | In Line | ||
| CBI Industrial Trends Orders (Sep) | -27 | -33 | -30 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Services PMI Flash (Sep) | 51.9 | 54.2 | 53.8 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash (Sep) | 46.2 | 47 | 47.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Composite PMI Flash (Sep) | 51 | 53.5 | 52.9 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production MoM (Jul) | -0.9 | 0.7 | -0.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production YoY (Jul) | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Production MoM (Jul) | -1.3 | 0.5 | -0.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Production YoY (Jul) | 0.2 | 0 | 1.6 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Services PMI (Aug) | 54.2 | 51.8 | 53.6 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Composite PMI (Aug) | 53.5 | 51.5 | 53 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Aug) | 47 | 48 | 47.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| CBI Industrial Trends Orders (Aug) | -33 | -30 | -28 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Composite PMI Flash (Aug) | 53 | 51.5 | 51.8 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash (Aug) | 47.3 | 48 | 48.6 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Services PMI Flash (Aug) | 53.6 | 51.8 | 51.7 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production MoM (Jun) | 0.7 | -1.3 | 0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production YoY (Jun) | 0.2 | -0.2 | -0.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Production MoM (Jun) | 0.5 | -1 | 0.5 | In Line | ||
| Manufacturing Production YoY (Jun) | 0 | 1 | -0.9 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Services PMI (Jul) | 51.8 | 52.8 | 51.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Composite PMI (Jul) | 51.5 | 52 | 51 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jul) | 48 | 47.7 | 48.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| CBI Business Optimism Index (Q3) | -27 | -33 | -31 | Beat Expectations | ||
| CBI Industrial Trends Orders (Jul) | -30 | -33 | -28 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Production YoY (May) | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Production MoM (May) | -1 | -0.7 | -0.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production MoM (May) | -0.9 | -0.6 | 0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production YoY (May) | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Services PMI (Jun) | 52.8 | 50.9 | 51.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Composite PMI (Jun) | 52 | 50.3 | 50.7 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jun) | 47.7 | 46.4 | 47.7 | In Line | ||
| CBI Industrial Trends Orders (Jun) | -33 | -30 | -27 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production MoM (Apr) | -0.6 | -0.7 | -0.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production YoY (Apr) | -0.3 | -0.7 | -0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Production MoM (Apr) | -0.9 | -0.8 | -0.8 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Production YoY (Apr) | 0.4 | -0.8 | 0.4 | In Line | ||
| S&P Global Services PMI (May) | 50.9 | 49 | 50.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Composite PMI (May) | 50.3 | 48.5 | 49.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May) | 46.4 | 45.4 | 45.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| CBI Industrial Trends Orders (May) | -30 | -26 | -25 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Production YoY (Mar) | -0.8 | 0.5 | -0.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Production MoM (Mar) | -0.8 | 2.4 | -0.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production MoM (Mar) | -0.7 | 1.7 | -0.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production YoY (Mar) | -0.7 | 0.4 | -0.9 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Composite PMI (Apr) | 48.5 | 51.5 | 48.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Services PMI (Apr) | 49 | 52.5 | 48.9 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Apr) | 45.4 | 44.9 | 44 | Beat Expectations | ||
| CBI Industrial Trends Orders (Apr) | -26 | -29 | -35 | Beat Expectations | ||
| CBI Business Optimism Index (Q2) | -33 | -47 | -40 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Composite PMI Flash (Apr) | 48.2 | 51.5 | 50.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash (Apr) | 44 | 44.9 | 44.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Services PMI Flash (Apr) | 48.9 | 52.5 | 52 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Production YoY (Feb) | 0.3 | -0.9 | -2.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Manufacturing Production MoM (Feb) | 2.2 | -1 | 0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production MoM (Feb) | 1.5 | -0.5 | 0.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Industrial Production YoY (Feb) | 0.1 | -0.5 | -2.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Services PMI (Mar) | 52.5 | 51 | 53.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Composite PMI (Mar) | 51.5 | 50.5 | 52 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Mar) | 44.9 | 46.9 | 44.6 | Beat Expectations |
| Economic Indicators | Trend | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| House Price Index YoY | 2.4 | 2.5 | 1.8 | Beat Expectations | ||
| PPI Output YoY (Jan) | 2.5 | 3.1 | 3.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| PPI Input YoY (Jan) | -0.2 | 0.5 | 0.9 | Missed Expectations | ||
| PPI Input MoM (Jan) | 0.4 | -0.5 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| PPI Core Output YoY (Jan) | 2.9 | — | 3.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| PPI Core Output MoM (Jan) | 0.2 | — | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| PPI Output MoM (Jan) | 0 | -0.1 | 0.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Inflation Rate YoY (Jan) | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | In Line | ||
| Core Inflation Rate YoY (Jan) | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Core Inflation Rate MoM (Jan) | -0.6 | 0.3 | -0.6 | In Line | ||
| CPI (Jan) | -0.5 | 0.4 | -0.5 | In Line | ||
| Retail Price Index YoY (Jan) | 3.8 | 4.2 | 3.9 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Inflation Rate MoM (Jan) | -0.5 | 0.4 | -0.4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Price Index MoM (Jan) | -0.5 | 0.7 | -0.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| House Price Index MoM | 0 | 2.8 | — | |||
| House Price Index YoY (Feb) | 0 | 0.5 | — | |||
| House Price Index MoM (Jan) | 0.7 | -0.6 | 0.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| House Price Index YoY (Jan) | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | Beat Expectations | ||
| BRC Shop Price Index YoY | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Inflation Rate YoY (Dec) | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Core Inflation Rate MoM (Dec) | 0.3 | -0.2 | 0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Core Inflation Rate YoY (Dec) | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Inflation Rate MoM (Dec) | 0.4 | -0.2 | 0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| CPI (Dec) | 140.1 | 139.5 | — | |||
| PPI Core Output MoM (Dec) | -0.1 | 0 | 0.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| PPI Core Output YoY (Dec) | 3.2 | 3.5 | 3.4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| PPI Input MoM (Dec) | -0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| PPI Input YoY (Dec) | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| PPI Output MoM (Dec) | 0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| PPI Output YoY (Dec) | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Price Index MoM (Dec) | 0.7 | -0.4 | 0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Price Index YoY (Dec) | 4.2 | 3.8 | 3.7 | Beat Expectations | ||
| House Price Index MoM (Dec) | -0.6 | -0.1 | 0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| House Price Index YoY (Dec) | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Price Index YoY (Nov) | 3.8 | 4.3 | 4.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Price Index MoM (Nov) | -0.4 | 0.3 | 0 | Missed Expectations | ||
| PPI Output YoY (Nov) | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.4 | In Line | ||
| PPI Output MoM (Nov) | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | In Line | ||
| PPI Input YoY (Nov) | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| PPI Input MoM (Nov) | 0.3 | 0 | 0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| PPI Core Output YoY (Nov) | 3.5 | 3.6 | 3.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| PPI Core Output MoM (Nov) | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | In Line | ||
| Inflation Rate MoM (Nov) | -0.2 | 0.4 | -0.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Inflation Rate YoY (Nov) | 3.2 | 3.6 | 3.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Core Inflation Rate MoM (Nov) | -0.2 | 0.3 | -0.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Core Inflation Rate YoY (Nov) | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| House Price Index MoM (Nov) | 0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| House Price Index YoY (Nov) | 0.7 | 1.9 | 1.7 | Missed Expectations | ||
| CPI (Nov) | 3.4 | 3.4 | 0 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Price Index MoM (Oct) | 0.3 | -0.4 | 0.3 | In Line | ||
| Inflation Rate YoY (Oct) | 3.6 | 3.8 | 3.6 | In Line | ||
| Core Inflation Rate MoM (Oct) | 0.3 | 0 | 0.4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Core Inflation Rate YoY (Oct) | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.4 | In Line | ||
| PPI Input MoM (Oct) | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| PPI Output MoM (Oct) | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| PPI Core Output YoY (Oct) | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.6 | Missed Expectations | ||
| PPI Core Output MoM (Oct) | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | In Line | ||
| Retail Price Index YoY (Oct) | 4.3 | 4.5 | 4.3 | In Line | ||
| PPI Output YoY (Oct) | 3.6 | 3.5 | 3.5 | Beat Expectations | ||
| PPI Input YoY (Oct) | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Inflation Rate MoM (Oct) | 0.4 | 0 | 0.4 | In Line | ||
| House Price Index YoY (Oct) | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.45 | Beat Expectations | ||
| House Price Index MoM (Oct) | 0.6 | -0.3 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| CPI (Oct) | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Inflation Rate YoY (Sep) | 3.8 | 3.8 | 4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Inflation Rate MoM (Sep) | 0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Core Inflation Rate MoM (Sep) | 0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| CPI (Sep) | 0 | 0.3 | — | |||
| PPI Output MoM (Sep) | 0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| PPI Input YoY (Sep) | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Price Index YoY (Sep) | 4.5 | 4.6 | 4.7 | Missed Expectations | ||
| PPI Output YoY (Sep) | 3.4 | 3.1 | 2.7 | Beat Expectations | ||
| PPI Core Output YoY (Sep) | 3.6 | 3.5 | 2.9 | Beat Expectations | ||
| PPI Core Output MoM (Sep) | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| PPI Input MoM (Sep) | -0.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Price Index MoM (Sep) | -0.4 | 0.4 | -0.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Core Inflation Rate YoY (Sep) | 3.5 | 3.6 | 3.7 | Missed Expectations | ||
| House Price Index MoM (Sep) | -0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| House Price Index YoY (Sep) | 1.3 | 2 | 2.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Core Inflation Rate MoM (Aug) | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | In Line | ||
| Core Inflation Rate YoY (Aug) | 3.6 | 3.8 | 3.6 | In Line | ||
| CPI (Aug) | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 | In Line | ||
| Inflation Rate MoM (Aug) | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | In Line | ||
| Inflation Rate YoY (Aug) | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 | In Line | ||
| Retail Price Index MoM (Aug) | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Price Index YoY (Aug) | 4.6 | 4.8 | 4.6 | In Line | ||
| House Price Index MoM (Aug) | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| House Price Index YoY (Aug) | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Price Index YoY (Jul) | 4.8 | 4.4 | 4.5 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Price Index MoM (Jul) | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| CPI (Jul) | 139 | 138.9 | — | |||
| Core Inflation Rate MoM (Jul) | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Core Inflation Rate YoY (Jul) | 3.8 | 3.7 | 3.7 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Inflation Rate MoM (Jul) | 0.1 | 0.3 | -0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Inflation Rate YoY (Jul) | 3.8 | 3.6 | 3.7 | Beat Expectations | ||
| House Price Index MoM (Jul) | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| House Price Index YoY (Jul) | 2.4 | 2.7 | 2.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Price Index YoY (Jun) | 4.4 | 4.3 | 4.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Price Index MoM (Jun) | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Core Inflation Rate MoM (Jun) | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Core Inflation Rate YoY (Jun) | 3.7 | 3.5 | 3.5 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Inflation Rate MoM (Jun) | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Inflation Rate YoY (Jun) | 3.6 | 3.4 | 3.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| House Price Index MoM (Jun) | 0 | -0.3 | -0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| House Price Index YoY (Jun) | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| CPI (Jun) | 3.3 | 3 | — | |||
| Core Inflation Rate MoM (May) | 0.2 | 1.4 | 0.2 | In Line | ||
| Core Inflation Rate YoY (May) | 3.5 | 3.8 | 3.6 | Missed Expectations | ||
| CPI (May) | 3.5 | 3.8 | 3.5 | In Line | ||
| Inflation Rate MoM (May) | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | In Line | ||
| Inflation Rate YoY (May) | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.4 | In Line | ||
| Retail Price Index MoM (May) | 0.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Price Index YoY (May) | 4.3 | 4.5 | 4.3 | In Line | ||
| House Price Index YoY (May) | 2.5 | 3.2 | 3.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| House Price Index MoM (May) | -0.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Retail Price Index YoY (Apr) | 4.5 | 3.2 | 4.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Price Index MoM (Apr) | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.5 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Core Inflation Rate MoM (Apr) | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Core Inflation Rate YoY (Apr) | 3.8 | 3.4 | 3.6 | Beat Expectations | ||
| CPI (Apr) | 3.5 | 2.6 | 3.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Inflation Rate MoM (Apr) | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Inflation Rate YoY (Apr) | 3.5 | 2.6 | 3.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| House Price Index MoM (Apr) | 0.3 | -0.5 | -0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| House Price Index YoY (Apr) | 3.2 | 2.9 | 2.6 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Retail Price Index YoY (Mar) | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.2 | In Line | ||
| Retail Price Index MoM (Mar) | 0.3 | 0.6 | -4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Core Inflation Rate MoM (Mar) | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | In Line | ||
| CPI (Mar) | 136.5 | 136 | — | |||
| Core Inflation Rate YoY (Mar) | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.4 | In Line | ||
| Inflation Rate MoM (Mar) | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Inflation Rate YoY (Mar) | 2.6 | 2.8 | 2.7 | Missed Expectations | ||
| House Price Index MoM (Mar) | -0.5 | -0.2 | 0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| House Price Index YoY (Mar) | 2.8 | 2.8 | 3.7 | Missed Expectations |
| Economic Indicators | Trend | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour Productivity QoQ (Q4) | -0.6 | — | -0.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| HMRC Payrolls Change (Jan) | -11 | — | -10 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Employment Change (Dec) | 52 | 82 | -40 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Unemployment Rate (Dec) | 5.2 | 5.1 | 5.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Employment Change (Nov) | 82 | -16 | -25 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Unemployment Rate (Nov) | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.1 | In Line | ||
| HMRC Payrolls Change (Dec) | -43 | -38 | -20 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Employment Change (Oct) | -16 | -22 | -60 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Unemployment Rate (Oct) | 5.1 | 5 | 5.1 | In Line | ||
| HMRC Payrolls Change (Nov) | -38 | -22 | -40 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Labour Productivity QoQ (Q3) | 0.7 | -0.7 | -0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Employment Change (Sep) | -22 | 91 | 50 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Unemployment Rate (Sep) | 5 | 4.8 | 4.9 | Beat Expectations | ||
| HMRC Payrolls Change (Oct) | -32 | -32 | 10 | Missed Expectations | ||
| HMRC Payrolls Change (Sep) | -10 | 10 | -13 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Unemployment Rate (Aug) | 4.8 | 4.7 | 4.7 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Employment Change (Aug) | 91 | 232 | 70 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Unemployment Rate (Jul) | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.7 | In Line | ||
| Employment Change (Jul) | 232 | 239 | 220 | Beat Expectations | ||
| HMRC Payrolls Change (Aug) | -8 | -6 | -10 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Labour Productivity QoQ (Q2) | -0.6 | 0.3 | -0.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Unemployment Rate (Jun) | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.7 | In Line | ||
| Employment Change (Jun) | 238 | 134 | 65 | Beat Expectations | ||
| HMRC Payrolls Change (Jul) | -8 | -26 | -60 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Employment Change (May) | 134 | 89 | 46 | Beat Expectations | ||
| HMRC Payrolls Change (Jun) | -41 | -25 | -40 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Unemployment Rate (May) | 4.7 | 4.6 | 4.6 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Employment Change (Apr) | 89 | 112 | 80 | Beat Expectations | ||
| HMRC Payrolls Change (May) | -109 | -55 | -25 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Unemployment Rate (Apr) | 4.6 | 4.5 | 4.6 | In Line | ||
| Labour Productivity QoQ (Q1) | 0.2 | 0.7 | — | |||
| Unemployment Rate (Mar) | 4.5 | 4.4 | 4.5 | In Line | ||
| Employment Change (Mar) | 112 | 206 | 120 | Missed Expectations | ||
| HMRC Payrolls Change (Apr) | -33 | -47 | -90 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Unemployment Rate (Feb) | 4.4 | 4.4 | 4.4 | In Line | ||
| Employment Change (Feb) | 206 | 144 | 95 | Beat Expectations | ||
| HMRC Payrolls Change (Mar) | -78 | -8 | -35 | Missed Expectations |
| Economic Indicators | Trend | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker (Jan) | 0.3 | -0.1 | — | |||
| Gross Domestic Product YoY (Q4) | 1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker (Dec) | 0.1 | -0.1 | 0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| GDP 3-Month Avg (Dec) | 0.1 | — | 0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q4) | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Q4) | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| GDP Growth Rate YoY (Q4) | 1 | — | 1.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Gross Domestic Product MoM (Dec) | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | In Line | ||
| Gross Domestic Product YoY (Dec) | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Gross Domestic Product YoY (Nov) | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| GDP 3-Month Avg (Nov) | 0.1 | 0 | -0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker (Nov) | 0.1 | 0 | -0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Gross Domestic Product MoM (Nov) | 0.3 | -0.1 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Q3) | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | In Line | ||
| GDP Growth Rate YoY (Q3) | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | In Line | ||
| GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q3) | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | In Line | ||
| Gross Domestic Product YoY (Q3) | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | In Line | ||
| NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker (Oct) | -0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | Missed Expectations | ||
| GDP 3-Month Avg (Oct) | -0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Gross Domestic Product MoM (Oct) | -0.1 | -0.1 | 0.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Gross Domestic Product YoY (Oct) | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| GDP 3-Month Avg (Sep) | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker (Sep) | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Gross Domestic Product MoM (Sep) | -0.1 | 0 | 0.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Gross Domestic Product YoY (Sep) | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker (Aug) | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | In Line | ||
| GDP 3-Month Avg (Aug) | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | In Line | ||
| Gross Domestic Product YoY (Aug) | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.3 | In Line | ||
| Gross Domestic Product MoM (Aug) | 0.1 | -0.1 | 0.1 | In Line | ||
| Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Q2) | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | In Line | ||
| GDP Growth Rate YoY (Q2) | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q2) | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | In Line | ||
| Gross Domestic Product YoY (Q2) | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker (Jul) | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | In Line | ||
| GDP 3-Month Avg (Jul) | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | In Line | ||
| Gross Domestic Product MoM (Jul) | 0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Gross Domestic Product YoY (Jul) | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| GDP 3-Month Avg (Jun) | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker (Jun) | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Gross Domestic Product MoM (Jun) | 0.4 | -0.1 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Gross Domestic Product YoY (Jun) | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| GDP 3-Month Avg (May) | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker (May) | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Gross Domestic Product MoM (May) | -0.1 | -0.3 | 0.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Gross Domestic Product YoY (May) | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.7 | In Line | ||
| Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Q1) | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.7 | In Line | ||
| GDP Growth Rate YoY (Q1) | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.3 | In Line | ||
| GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q1) | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.7 | In Line | ||
| Gross Domestic Product YoY (Q1) | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.3 | In Line | ||
| GDP 3-Month Avg (Apr) | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | In Line | ||
| NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker (Apr) | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | In Line | ||
| Gross Domestic Product MoM (Apr) | -0.3 | 0.2 | -0.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Gross Domestic Product YoY (Apr) | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| GDP 3-Month Avg (Mar) | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | Beat Expectations | ||
| NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker (Mar) | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Gross Domestic Product MoM (Mar) | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Gross Domestic Product YoY (Mar) | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| GDP 3-Month Avg (Feb) | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker (Feb) | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Gross Domestic Product MoM (Feb) | 0.5 | 0 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Gross Domestic Product YoY (Feb) | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.9 | Beat Expectations |
| Economic Indicators | Trend | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Construction Output MoM (Dec) | -0.5 | -0.8 | 0.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Construction Output YoY (Dec) | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.8 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Construction Orders YoY (Q4) | 28.6 | — | 25 | Beat Expectations | ||
| RICS House Price Balance (Jan) | -10 | -14 | -12 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Construction PMI (Jan) | 46.4 | 40.1 | 42.5 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Nationwide Housing Prices MoM (Jan) | 0.3 | -0.4 | 0.6 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Nationwide Housing Prices YoY (Jan) | 1 | 0.6 | 1.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Construction Output YoY (Nov) | -1.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Construction Output MoM (Nov) | -1.3 | -1.2 | -0.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| RICS House Price Balance (Dec) | -14 | -14 | -16 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Construction PMI (Dec) | 40.1 | 39.4 | 40.1 | In Line | ||
| Nationwide Housing Prices YoY (Dec) | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Nationwide Housing Prices MoM (Dec) | -0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Construction Output YoY (Oct) | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.6 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Construction Output MoM (Oct) | -0.6 | 0.2 | -0.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| RICS House Price Balance (Nov) | -16 | -19 | -21 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Construction PMI (Nov) | 39.4 | 44.1 | 48 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Nationwide Housing Prices MoM (Nov) | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Nationwide Housing Prices YoY (Nov) | 1.8 | 2.4 | 1.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Construction Output YoY (Sep) | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Construction Output MoM (Sep) | 0.2 | -0.5 | 0 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Construction Orders YoY (Q3) | 29.3 | -11.7 | 6 | Beat Expectations | ||
| RICS House Price Balance (Oct) | -19 | -17 | -14 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Construction PMI (Oct) | 44.1 | 46.2 | 46.7 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Nationwide Housing Prices MoM (Oct) | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Nationwide Housing Prices YoY (Oct) | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Construction Output YoY (Aug) | 1 | 1.8 | 1 | In Line | ||
| Construction Output MoM (Aug) | -0.3 | 0 | -0.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| RICS House Price Balance (Sep) | -15 | -19 | -18 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Construction PMI (Sep) | 46.2 | 45.5 | 46.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Nationwide Housing Prices MoM (Sep) | 0.5 | -0.1 | 0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Nationwide Housing Prices YoY (Sep) | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1.8 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Construction Output YoY (Jul) | 2.4 | 1.5 | 1.9 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Construction Output MoM (Jul) | 0.2 | 0.3 | -0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| RICS House Price Balance (Aug) | -19 | -13 | -10 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Construction PMI (Aug) | 45.5 | 44.3 | 45 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Nationwide Housing Prices MoM (Aug) | -0.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Nationwide Housing Prices YoY (Aug) | 2.1 | 2.4 | 4.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Construction Output MoM (Jun) | 0.3 | -0.5 | 0.3 | In Line | ||
| Construction Output YoY (Jun) | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Construction Orders YoY (Q2) | -11.9 | 10.5 | -12 | Beat Expectations | ||
| RICS House Price Balance (Jul) | -13 | -7 | -5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Construction PMI (Jul) | 44.3 | 48.8 | 49.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Nationwide Housing Prices MoM (Jul) | 0.6 | -0.9 | 0.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Nationwide Housing Prices YoY (Jul) | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Construction Output YoY (May) | 1.2 | 3.6 | 1.7 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Construction Output MoM (May) | -0.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| RICS House Price Balance (Jun) | -7 | -7 | -8 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Construction PMI (Jun) | 48.8 | 47.9 | 48.4 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Nationwide Housing Prices MoM (Jun) | -0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Nationwide Housing Prices YoY (Jun) | 2.1 | 3.5 | 3.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Construction Output MoM (Apr) | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Construction Output YoY (Apr) | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.9 | Beat Expectations | ||
| RICS House Price Balance (May) | -8 | -3 | -3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Construction PMI (May) | 47.9 | 46.6 | 47.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Nationwide Housing Prices MoM (May) | 0.5 | -0.6 | 0.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Nationwide Housing Prices YoY (May) | 3.5 | 3.4 | 2.9 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Construction Orders YoY (Q1) | 10.5 | -0.2 | 4.5 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Construction Output YoY (Mar) | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Construction Output MoM (Mar) | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| RICS House Price Balance (Apr) | -3 | 2 | -5 | Beat Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Construction PMI (Apr) | 46.6 | 46.4 | 45.7 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Nationwide Housing Prices YoY (Apr) | 3.4 | 3.9 | 4.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Nationwide Housing Prices MoM (Apr) | -0.6 | 0 | -0.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Construction Output YoY (Feb) | 1.6 | 0 | 1.6 | In Line | ||
| Construction Output MoM (Feb) | 0.4 | -0.3 | 0.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| RICS House Price Balance (Mar) | 2 | 11 | 8 | Missed Expectations | ||
| S&P Global Construction PMI (Mar) | 46.4 | 44.6 | 46 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Nationwide Housing Prices YoY (Mar) | 3.9 | 3.9 | 3.8 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Nationwide Housing Prices MoM (Mar) | 0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | Missed Expectations |
| Economic Indicators | Trend | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goods Trade Balance (Dec) | -22.72 | — | -23 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Goods Trade Balance Non-EU (Dec) | -10.99 | — | -11.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Goods Trade Balance (Nov) | -23.71 | -24.17 | -20.4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Goods Trade Balance Non-EU (Nov) | -11.46 | -11.81 | -9.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Current Account (Q3) | -12.1 | -21.2 | -21.3 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Goods Trade Balance (Oct) | -22.54 | -18.88 | -19.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Goods Trade Balance Non-EU (Oct) | -10.26 | -6.82 | -6.6 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Goods Trade Balance (Sep) | -18.88 | -19.53 | -20.8 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Goods Trade Balance Non-EU (Sep) | -6.82 | -6.95 | -7.7 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Trade Balance (Aug) | -8.29 | -8.8 | — | |||
| Goods Trade Balance Non-EU (Aug) | -8.29 | -8.8 | -10.1 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Goods Trade Balance (Aug) | -21.18 | -20.65 | -22 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Current Account (Q2) | -28.9 | -21.2 | -24.9 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Trade Balance (Jul) | -10.16 | -10.78 | — | |||
| Goods Trade Balance Non-EU (Jul) | -10.16 | -10.78 | -10.2 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Goods Trade Balance (Jul) | -22.24 | -22.16 | -21.75 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Trade Balance (Jun) | -22.16 | -22.05 | -21.7 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Goods Trade Balance Non-EU (Jun) | -10.78 | -9.75 | -9.2 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Goods Trade Balance (Jun) | -22.16 | -22.05 | -19.4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Trade Balance (May) | -21.69 | -22.42 | -21.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Goods Trade Balance (May) | -21.688 | -22.424 | -21.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Goods Trade Balance Non-EU (May) | -9.318 | -9.963 | -8 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Current Account (Q1) | -23.5 | -21 | -19.75 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Trade Balance (Apr) | -8.65 | -6.83 | — | |||
| Goods Trade Balance (Apr) | -23.21 | -19.87 | -20.5 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Goods Trade Balance Non-EU (Apr) | -8.65 | -6.83 | -7.3 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Trade Balance (Mar) | -19.87 | -20.96 | -19.1 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Goods Trade Balance (Mar) | -19.87 | -20.96 | -19.4 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Goods Trade Balance Non-EU (Mar) | -6.83 | -8.85 | -8.5 | Beat Expectations | ||
| Goods Trade Balance (Feb) | -20.81 | -18.22 | -17.6 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Goods Trade Balance Non-EU (Feb) | -8.58 | -7.37 | -6.7 | Missed Expectations | ||
| Current Account (Q4) | -21 | -12.5 | -24.5 | Beat Expectations |
| Economic Indicators | Trend | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Year Treasury Gilt Auction | 4.001 | 3.821 | — | |||
| 10-Year Treasury Gilt Auction | 4.585 | 4.456 | — | |||
| 30-Year Treasury Gilt Auction | 5.48 | 5.17 | — | |||
| 15-Year Treasury Gilt Auction | 4.85 | 4.917 | — | |||
| 10-Year Index-Linked Treasury Gilt Auction | 1.386 | 1.268 | — | |||
| 3-Year Treasury Gilt Auction | 4.062 | 3.834 | — | |||
| 20-Year Treasury Gilt Auction | 5.155 | 5.232 | — |
| Economic Indicators | Trend | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest Rate Decision (Feb) | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | In Line | ||
| BoE Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | In Line | ||
| Interest Rate Decision (Dec) | 3.75 | 4 | 3.75 | In Line | ||
| Interest Rate Decision (Nov) | 4 | 4 | 4 | In Line | ||
| Interest Rate Decision (Sep) | 4 | 4 | 4 | In Line | ||
| Interest Rate Decision (Aug) | 4 | 4.25 | 4 | In Line | ||
| Interest Rate Decision (Jun) | 4.25 | 4.25 | 4.25 | In Line | ||
| Interest Rate Decision (May) | 4.25 | 4.5 | 4.25 | In Line |