发布于 June 18, 2025 at 4:00 AM GMT+4
目标利率
4.5%
(4.25% – 4.5%)
投票
语调分析
+28.0
置信度: 83%
+28.0
偏鹰派
strongly committed
支持紧缩Inflation remains somewhat elevated
支持紧缩inflation pressures
支持紧缩continue reducing its holdings of Treasury securities and agency debt
支持紧缩economic activity has continued to expand at a solid pace
支持紧缩利率
预计将进一步加息
美元
预计获得上行支撑
股票
风险资产承压
债券
价格下跌,收益率上升
Although swings in net exports have affected the data, recent indicators suggest that economic activity has continued to expand at a solid pace. The unemployment rate remains low, and labor market conditions remain solid. Inflation remains somewhat elevated.
The Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run. Uncertainty about the economic outlook has diminished but remains elevated. The Committee is attentive to the risks to both sides of its dual mandate.
In support of its goals, the Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 4-1/4 to 4-1/2 percent. In considering the extent and timing of additional adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will carefully assess incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks. The Committee will continue reducing its holdings of Treasury securities and agency debt and agency mortgage‑backed securities. The Committee is strongly committed to supporting maximum employment and returning inflation to its 2 percent objective.
In assessing the appropriate stance of monetary policy, the Committee will continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook. The Committee would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of the Committee's goals. The Committee's assessments will take into account a wide range of information, including readings on labor market conditions, inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and financial and international developments.
Voting for the monetary policy action were Jerome H. Powell, Chair; John C. Williams, Vice Chair; Michael S. Barr; Michelle W. Bowman; Susan M. Collins; Lisa D. Cook; Austan D. Goolsbee; Philip N. Jefferson; Adriana D. Kugler; Alberto G. Musalem; Jeffrey R. Schmid; and Christopher J. Waller.
声明
偏鹰派
+28.0
开场白
中性
-4.0
更趋鸽派
“Fed projects 2 cuts to 3.94%, inflation at 2.8%”