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World oil demand is set to rise by 860 kb/d in 2026, down from 1.0 mb/d in 2025, as efficiency gains and electric vehicle adoption offset emerging market growth.
Non-OPEC+ supply continues to surge, led by the US, Brazil, Guyana, and Canada. Total non-OPEC+ growth is projected at 1.8 mb/d for 2026.
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