欧元/美元和欧元/日元反弹，因特朗普暗示中东局势可能缓和

关键事实

1Reports indicate the US is sending warships and thousands of additional marines to the Middle East.

2President Trump issued an ultimatum to Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours or face strikes.

3ECB sources noted the central bank may start debating a rate hike at the April meeting.

4Markets are pricing in 85 bps of ECB tightening by year-end.

欧元/美元货币对和对风险敏感的欧元/日元从近期低点反弹，因特朗普总统暗示中东地缘政治紧张局势可能缓和。这一转变发生在特朗普决定推迟对伊朗的军事打击之后，导致美元/加元货币对交易持平，因为对美元的避险需求有所缓解。市场情绪有所改善，因为立即采取军事行动的可能性似乎减弱，使投资者能够重新关注货币政策前景。欧洲央行 (ECB) 消息来源的鹰派信号仍然是关键的支撑因素，有关加息的讨论最早可能在四月开始。目前，市场预计到今年年底欧洲央行将收紧约85个基点。欧元/日元的复苏尤其凸显了在地缘政治局势缓和信号发出后，全球金融市场风险偏好的回归。

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版本历史

5 个额外来源确认了此报道

版本 2about 11 hours ago

变更内容: Specified Iran as the target of the delayed military action and added the impact on the USD/CAD pair due to easing safe-haven demand.

版本 1about 13 hours ago

变更内容: Market sentiment shifted to recovery as President Trump signaled a potential de-escalation of Middle East tensions, leading to a rebound in EUR/USD and EUR/JPY.

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