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The Global Supply Chain Pressure Index (GSCPI) is a comprehensive measure developed by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York to identify supply chain disruptions. It integrates data from various shipping cost indices and manufacturing PMI sub-indices across major economies. A rising index indicates increasing logistical bottlenecks and inflationary pressures, while a falling index suggests a normalization of global trade flows.
The index is calculated using 27 variables, including the Baltic Dry Index, airfreight cost indices, and PMI components like delivery times and backlogs. These variables are standardized and aggregated using principal component analysis to isolate common supply chain shocks.